**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for 28 August 2026 explicitly project a daily minimum of 28°C, with a range of 28–32°C under generally cloudy skies, scattered showers, and southwest monsoon flow.** This aligns with the market's overwhelming 98.5% implied probability on 28°C, reflecting traders' confidence in the HKO's authoritative guidance backed by real-time observations showing overnight and early-morning readings clustered near 27–28°C at most stations before daytime heating. Persistent high humidity (70–95%), cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling overnight—typical of the current broad low-pressure trough and moist southwest flow—support this floor. Historical late-August climatology for Hong Kong also favors minima in the upper 20s under similar patterns. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected sharp drop in the steering flow or prolonged heavy rainfall enabling greater evaporative cooling, potentially pushing select automatic weather stations below 28°C. However, current model consensus and ongoing HKO updates show no such signal, keeping the probability of deviation low ahead of final daily verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日香港最低气温？
8月28日香港最低气温？
28°C 99.7%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
26°C <1%
$18,094 交易量
$18,094 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.7%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
26°C <1%
$18,094 交易量
$18,094 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for 28 August 2026 explicitly project a daily minimum of 28°C, with a range of 28–32°C under generally cloudy skies, scattered showers, and southwest monsoon flow.** This aligns with the market's overwhelming 98.5% implied probability on 28°C, reflecting traders' confidence in the HKO's authoritative guidance backed by real-time observations showing overnight and early-morning readings clustered near 27–28°C at most stations before daytime heating. Persistent high humidity (70–95%), cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling overnight—typical of the current broad low-pressure trough and moist southwest flow—support this floor. Historical late-August climatology for Hong Kong also favors minima in the upper 20s under similar patterns. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected sharp drop in the steering flow or prolonged heavy rainfall enabling greater evaporative cooling, potentially pushing select automatic weather stations below 28°C. However, current model consensus and ongoing HKO updates show no such signal, keeping the probability of deviation low ahead of final daily verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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