**Official Hong Kong Observatory observations recorded a daily minimum temperature of exactly 28°C on August 29, 2026, producing the market’s near-certain 99.8% implied probability on that outcome.** Hourly data from multiple stations showed overnight and early-morning readings bottoming at 28°C under cloudy, rainy conditions (light to moderate showers and high humidity near 75–85%), with daytime peaks reaching 30–31°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation suppressed radiative cooling, keeping the minimum aligned with the observed value rather than allowing a drop toward 26–27°C. Traders converged rapidly once preliminary station reports and the observatory’s daily extract confirmed this figure, reflecting the “wisdom of crowds” backed by real capital on verifiable meteorological data. The primary resolution source is the Hong Kong Observatory’s Absolute Daily Min (°C) at the King’s Park or Observatory headquarters station; any post-publication revisions are excluded per market rules. Realistic scenarios that could have altered the outcome include clearer skies or a stronger nocturnal drainage flow that lowered the minimum by 1–2°C, or a late data-quality adjustment shifting the recorded low. In this case, however, the combination of observed cloud, rain, and station readings left virtually no uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日香港最低气温？
8月29日香港最低气温？
28°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$24,537 交易量
$24,537 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$24,537 交易量
$24,537 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
**Official Hong Kong Observatory observations recorded a daily minimum temperature of exactly 28°C on August 29, 2026, producing the market’s near-certain 99.8% implied probability on that outcome.** Hourly data from multiple stations showed overnight and early-morning readings bottoming at 28°C under cloudy, rainy conditions (light to moderate showers and high humidity near 75–85%), with daytime peaks reaching 30–31°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation suppressed radiative cooling, keeping the minimum aligned with the observed value rather than allowing a drop toward 26–27°C. Traders converged rapidly once preliminary station reports and the observatory’s daily extract confirmed this figure, reflecting the “wisdom of crowds” backed by real capital on verifiable meteorological data. The primary resolution source is the Hong Kong Observatory’s Absolute Daily Min (°C) at the King’s Park or Observatory headquarters station; any post-publication revisions are excluded per market rules. Realistic scenarios that could have altered the outcome include clearer skies or a stronger nocturnal drainage flow that lowered the minimum by 1–2°C, or a late data-quality adjustment shifting the recorded low. In this case, however, the combination of observed cloud, rain, and station readings left virtually no uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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