Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 28–29°C for Beijing on September 1, reflecting cooling from a recent cold-front passage and reduced subtropical high influence after late-August rains. Trader consensus clusters on 28–31°C because ensemble spreads arise from uncertainties in daytime cloud cover, northeasterly wind strength, and boundary-layer mixing that can add or subtract 1–2°C. Clear skies and light winds favor the upper end near 30°C, while increased humidity or lingering moisture supports the lower probabilities around 28°C; historical early-September maxima near 31°C provide context but are tempered by this year’s earlier seasonal transition. Updated China Meteorological Administration and global model runs on August 31 will likely refine these narrow margins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日北京气温最高？
9月1日北京气温最高？
30°C 36%
29°C 29%
27°C 14%
28°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
24°C or below
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
10%
28°C
14%
29°C
29%
30°C
36%
31°C
13%
32°C
6%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 36%
29°C 29%
27°C 14%
28°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
24°C or below
$0 交易量
1%
25°C
$0 交易量
4%
26°C
$0 交易量
2%
27°C
$38 交易量
10%
28°C
$0 交易量
14%
29°C
$35 交易量
29%
30°C
$35 交易量
36%
31°C
$11 交易量
13%
32°C
$0 交易量
6%
33°C
$0 交易量
3%
34°C or higher
$16 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 28–29°C for Beijing on September 1, reflecting cooling from a recent cold-front passage and reduced subtropical high influence after late-August rains. Trader consensus clusters on 28–31°C because ensemble spreads arise from uncertainties in daytime cloud cover, northeasterly wind strength, and boundary-layer mixing that can add or subtract 1–2°C. Clear skies and light winds favor the upper end near 30°C, while increased humidity or lingering moisture supports the lower probabilities around 28°C; historical early-September maxima near 31°C provide context but are tempered by this year’s earlier seasonal transition. Updated China Meteorological Administration and global model runs on August 31 will likely refine these narrow margins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$135结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 28–29°C for Beijing on September 1, reflecting cooling from a recent cold-front passage and reduced subtropical high influence after late-August rains. Trader consensus clusters on 28–31°C because ensemble spreads arise from uncertainties in daytime cloud cover, northeasterly wind strength, and boundary-layer mixing that can add or subtract 1–2°C. Clear skies and light winds favor the upper end near 30°C, while increased humidity or lingering moisture supports the lower probabilities around 28°C; historical early-September maxima near 31°C provide context but are tempered by this year’s earlier seasonal transition. Updated China Meteorological Administration and global model runs on August 31 will likely refine these narrow margins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$135结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 28–29°C for Beijing on September 1, reflecting cooling from a recent cold-front passage and reduced subtropical high influence after late-August rains. Trader consensus clusters on 28–31°C because ensemble spreads arise from uncertainties in daytime cloud cover, northeasterly wind strength, and boundary-layer mixing that can add or subtract 1–2°C. Clear skies and light winds favor the upper end near 30°C, while increased humidity or lingering moisture supports the lower probabilities around 28°C; historical early-September maxima near 31°C provide context but are tempered by this year’s earlier seasonal transition. Updated China Meteorological Administration and global model runs on August 31 will likely refine these narrow margins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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