Recent forecast models from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS show Guangzhou's September 1 high likely reaching 30–32°C amid increasing cloud cover and scattered showers, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and a weak frontal boundary. This setup reduces peak insolation and promotes evaporative cooling, keeping values near or slightly below the late-August average of 31–33°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 32–33°C because minor shifts in cloud timing or wind direction could easily push the daily maximum up or down by 1°C, while historical September 1 highs average near 33°C but recent patterns favor moderation from elevated humidity and precipitation. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will clarify whether drier air allows a brief spike toward 34°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日广州气温最高?
32°C 30%
33°C 30%
31°C 13%
34°C 11%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
13%
32°C
30%
33°C
30%
34°C
11%
35°C
3%
36°C或以上
1%
32°C 30%
33°C 30%
31°C 13%
34°C 11%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
13%
32°C
30%
33°C
30%
34°C
11%
35°C
3%
36°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS show Guangzhou's September 1 high likely reaching 30–32°C amid increasing cloud cover and scattered showers, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and a weak frontal boundary. This setup reduces peak insolation and promotes evaporative cooling, keeping values near or slightly below the late-August average of 31–33°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 32–33°C because minor shifts in cloud timing or wind direction could easily push the daily maximum up or down by 1°C, while historical September 1 highs average near 33°C but recent patterns favor moderation from elevated humidity and precipitation. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will clarify whether drier air allows a brief spike toward 34°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题