Recent forecasts from models aligned with China Meteorological Administration data indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C for Guangzhou on September 1, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and northerly winds moderating overnight radiative cooling in the subtropical monsoon regime. Historical averages place the Sept 1 low at 25.1°C, with recent convective activity suppressing both extremes and keeping values clustered around this baseline rather than pushing toward 30°C+ heat or rare sub-20°C drops. Trader consensus reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 25°C, alongside elevated odds for 30°C or higher, tracks these ensemble outputs showing mild variability but limited deviation potential before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日广州最低气温？
9月1日广州最低气温？
30°C or higher 69%
24°C 49%
27°C 49%
28°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
20°C or below
41%
21°C
18%
22°C
22%
23°C
25%
24°C
49%
25°C
45%
26°C
26%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
44%
30°C or higher
69%
30°C or higher 69%
24°C 49%
27°C 49%
28°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
20°C or below
$0 交易量
41%
21°C
$0 交易量
18%
22°C
$0 交易量
22%
23°C
$0 交易量
25%
24°C
$0 交易量
49%
25°C
$0 交易量
45%
26°C
$0 交易量
26%
27°C
$0 交易量
49%
28°C
$0 交易量
49%
29°C
$0 交易量
44%
30°C or higher
$0 交易量
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models aligned with China Meteorological Administration data indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C for Guangzhou on September 1, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and northerly winds moderating overnight radiative cooling in the subtropical monsoon regime. Historical averages place the Sept 1 low at 25.1°C, with recent convective activity suppressing both extremes and keeping values clustered around this baseline rather than pushing toward 30°C+ heat or rare sub-20°C drops. Trader consensus reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 25°C, alongside elevated odds for 30°C or higher, tracks these ensemble outputs showing mild variability but limited deviation potential before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models aligned with China Meteorological Administration data indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C for Guangzhou on September 1, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and northerly winds moderating overnight radiative cooling in the subtropical monsoon regime. Historical averages place the Sept 1 low at 25.1°C, with recent convective activity suppressing both extremes and keeping values clustered around this baseline rather than pushing toward 30°C+ heat or rare sub-20°C drops. Trader consensus reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 25°C, alongside elevated odds for 30°C or higher, tracks these ensemble outputs showing mild variability but limited deviation potential before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecasts from models aligned with China Meteorological Administration data indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C for Guangzhou on September 1, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and northerly winds moderating overnight radiative cooling in the subtropical monsoon regime. Historical averages place the Sept 1 low at 25.1°C, with recent convective activity suppressing both extremes and keeping values clustered around this baseline rather than pushing toward 30°C+ heat or rare sub-20°C drops. Trader consensus reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 25°C, alongside elevated odds for 30°C or higher, tracks these ensemble outputs showing mild variability but limited deviation potential before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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