Recent forecasts from global models indicate persistent monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms over Guangzhou through August 31, which limit nighttime radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures near the historical average of 25°C. High dew points near 24–25°C and light winds further moderate overnight drops, favoring the market's closely matched leading outcomes at 25°C and 26°C. Subtle differences hinge on exact precipitation timing and cloud persistence: earlier or heavier rain enhances cooling via evaporative effects and reduced insolation, while clearer breaks allow slightly higher minima. Model consensus shows low probability of significant cold advection or extreme deviations in the next 48 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日广州最低气温？
8月31日广州最低气温？
23°C 45%
21°C or below 42%
24°C 42%
26°C 42%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
21°C or below
42%
22°C
29%
23°C
45%
24°C
42%
25°C
35%
26°C
42%
27°C
25%
28°C
24%
29°C
21%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
41%
23°C 45%
21°C or below 42%
24°C 42%
26°C 42%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
21°C or below
$130 交易量
42%
22°C
$0 交易量
29%
23°C
$0 交易量
45%
24°C
$0 交易量
42%
25°C
$0 交易量
35%
26°C
$0 交易量
42%
27°C
$0 交易量
25%
28°C
$0 交易量
24%
29°C
$0 交易量
21%
30°C
$0 交易量
2%
31°C or higher
$130 交易量
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models indicate persistent monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms over Guangzhou through August 31, which limit nighttime radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures near the historical average of 25°C. High dew points near 24–25°C and light winds further moderate overnight drops, favoring the market's closely matched leading outcomes at 25°C and 26°C. Subtle differences hinge on exact precipitation timing and cloud persistence: earlier or heavier rain enhances cooling via evaporative effects and reduced insolation, while clearer breaks allow slightly higher minima. Model consensus shows low probability of significant cold advection or extreme deviations in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$260结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models indicate persistent monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms over Guangzhou through August 31, which limit nighttime radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures near the historical average of 25°C. High dew points near 24–25°C and light winds further moderate overnight drops, favoring the market's closely matched leading outcomes at 25°C and 26°C. Subtle differences hinge on exact precipitation timing and cloud persistence: earlier or heavier rain enhances cooling via evaporative effects and reduced insolation, while clearer breaks allow slightly higher minima. Model consensus shows low probability of significant cold advection or extreme deviations in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$260结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecasts from global models indicate persistent monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms over Guangzhou through August 31, which limit nighttime radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures near the historical average of 25°C. High dew points near 24–25°C and light winds further moderate overnight drops, favoring the market's closely matched leading outcomes at 25°C and 26°C. Subtle differences hinge on exact precipitation timing and cloud persistence: earlier or heavier rain enhances cooling via evaporative effects and reduced insolation, while clearer breaks allow slightly higher minima. Model consensus shows low probability of significant cold advection or extreme deviations in the next 48 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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