Recent forecast guidance from sources including the UK Met Office and Météo-France points to a highest temperature of 24–25 °C in Paris on 30 August under a southwest flow of milder Atlantic air, with extensive cloud cover limiting solar heating after showery conditions the prior two days. This places the market’s leading outcomes at 24 °C (38.5 %) and 25 °C (30 %) in close contention, as small differences in afternoon cloud thickness or wind speed can shift the daily maximum by 1 °C. Historical late-August averages near 24 °C provide context, while ensemble spreads in short-range models remain the key uncertainty until updated runs arrive before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日巴黎气温最高？
8月30日巴黎气温最高？
24°C 39%
25°C 31%
23°C 19%
27°C or higher 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
5%
23°C
19%
24°C
39%
25°C
31%
26°C
9%
27°C or higher
7%
24°C 39%
25°C 31%
23°C 19%
27°C or higher 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
17°C or below
$34 交易量
<1%
18°C
$0 交易量
<1%
19°C
$0 交易量
<1%
20°C
$0 交易量
1%
21°C
$0 交易量
4%
22°C
$46 交易量
5%
23°C
$0 交易量
19%
24°C
$24 交易量
39%
25°C
$3 交易量
31%
26°C
$106 交易量
9%
27°C or higher
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from sources including the UK Met Office and Météo-France points to a highest temperature of 24–25 °C in Paris on 30 August under a southwest flow of milder Atlantic air, with extensive cloud cover limiting solar heating after showery conditions the prior two days. This places the market’s leading outcomes at 24 °C (38.5 %) and 25 °C (30 %) in close contention, as small differences in afternoon cloud thickness or wind speed can shift the daily maximum by 1 °C. Historical late-August averages near 24 °C provide context, while ensemble spreads in short-range models remain the key uncertainty until updated runs arrive before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$213结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from sources including the UK Met Office and Météo-France points to a highest temperature of 24–25 °C in Paris on 30 August under a southwest flow of milder Atlantic air, with extensive cloud cover limiting solar heating after showery conditions the prior two days. This places the market’s leading outcomes at 24 °C (38.5 %) and 25 °C (30 %) in close contention, as small differences in afternoon cloud thickness or wind speed can shift the daily maximum by 1 °C. Historical late-August averages near 24 °C provide context, while ensemble spreads in short-range models remain the key uncertainty until updated runs arrive before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$213结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from sources including the UK Met Office and Météo-France points to a highest temperature of 24–25 °C in Paris on 30 August under a southwest flow of milder Atlantic air, with extensive cloud cover limiting solar heating after showery conditions the prior two days. This places the market’s leading outcomes at 24 °C (38.5 %) and 25 °C (30 %) in close contention, as small differences in afternoon cloud thickness or wind speed can shift the daily maximum by 1 °C. Historical late-August averages near 24 °C provide context, while ensemble spreads in short-range models remain the key uncertainty until updated runs arrive before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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