Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a building upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest will support daytime highs in the low-to-mid 70s for Seattle on September 1, before a warm front Tuesday night and stronger cold front Wednesday introduce cooler marine air. This places the market's leading 74–75 °F bin (31 % implied probability) just above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 74.2 °F, while nearby 70–73 °F outcomes (49 % combined) reflect uncertainty in cloud cover, marine-layer depth, and exact frontal timing. Short-range GFS and ECMWF solutions show modest spread in peak temperatures, underscoring how small shifts in steering flow or insolation can alter the daily maximum by a few degrees. Updated model cycles and the next NWS Area Forecast Discussion will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日西雅图的最高温度？
9月1日西雅图的最高温度？
74-75°F 30%
72-73°F 29%
70-71°F 24%
68-69°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
63°F或以下
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
30%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F或更高
1%
74-75°F 30%
72-73°F 29%
70-71°F 24%
68-69°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
63°F或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$35 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$77 交易量
3%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
11%
70-71°F
$10 交易量
25%
72-73°F
$255 交易量
29%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
30%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
9%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
3%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
<1%
82°F或更高
$7 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a building upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest will support daytime highs in the low-to-mid 70s for Seattle on September 1, before a warm front Tuesday night and stronger cold front Wednesday introduce cooler marine air. This places the market's leading 74–75 °F bin (31 % implied probability) just above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 74.2 °F, while nearby 70–73 °F outcomes (49 % combined) reflect uncertainty in cloud cover, marine-layer depth, and exact frontal timing. Short-range GFS and ECMWF solutions show modest spread in peak temperatures, underscoring how small shifts in steering flow or insolation can alter the daily maximum by a few degrees. Updated model cycles and the next NWS Area Forecast Discussion will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 30, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
交易量
$384结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 7:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a building upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest will support daytime highs in the low-to-mid 70s for Seattle on September 1, before a warm front Tuesday night and stronger cold front Wednesday introduce cooler marine air. This places the market's leading 74–75 °F bin (31 % implied probability) just above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 74.2 °F, while nearby 70–73 °F outcomes (49 % combined) reflect uncertainty in cloud cover, marine-layer depth, and exact frontal timing. Short-range GFS and ECMWF solutions show modest spread in peak temperatures, underscoring how small shifts in steering flow or insolation can alter the daily maximum by a few degrees. Updated model cycles and the next NWS Area Forecast Discussion will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$384结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 7:55 AM ETRecent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a building upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest will support daytime highs in the low-to-mid 70s for Seattle on September 1, before a warm front Tuesday night and stronger cold front Wednesday introduce cooler marine air. This places the market's leading 74–75 °F bin (31 % implied probability) just above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 74.2 °F, while nearby 70–73 °F outcomes (49 % combined) reflect uncertainty in cloud cover, marine-layer depth, and exact frontal timing. Short-range GFS and ECMWF solutions show modest spread in peak temperatures, underscoring how small shifts in steering flow or insolation can alter the daily maximum by a few degrees. Updated model cycles and the next NWS Area Forecast Discussion will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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