A strong cold front advancing from southern Brazil drove the market's near-certain positioning at 14°C or below for São Paulo's September 1 minimum. Official observations and model guidance showed the system advecting cooler polar air, with overnight lows falling to around 11–13°C amid thunderstorms and southerly winds, well below the early-September climatological average of roughly 12–14°C. This aligns with typical late-winter/early-spring outbreaks where high-pressure ridging behind the front enhances radiational cooling. The 17°C outcome held negligible implied probability because sustained warming or measurement discrepancies at official stations like Congonhas were inconsistent with real-time data. Only an unseasonably rapid warm-air advection or localized urban heat effects could have altered resolution, neither of which materialized.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日圣保罗最低温度？
9月1日圣保罗最低温度？
14°C或以下 99.9%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$3,860 交易量
$3,860 交易量
2026-09-01
14°C或以下
是
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C或更高
否
14°C或以下 99.9%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$3,860 交易量
$3,860 交易量
2026-09-01
14°C或以下
$48 交易量
是
15°C
$32 交易量
否
16°C
$31 交易量
否
17°C
$573 交易量
否
18°C
$2,255 交易量
否
19°C
$26 交易量
否
20°C
$160 交易量
否
21°C
$215 交易量
否
22°C
$30 交易量
否
23°C
$320 交易量
否
24°C或更高
$170 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong cold front advancing from southern Brazil drove the market's near-certain positioning at 14°C or below for São Paulo's September 1 minimum. Official observations and model guidance showed the system advecting cooler polar air, with overnight lows falling to around 11–13°C amid thunderstorms and southerly winds, well below the early-September climatological average of roughly 12–14°C. This aligns with typical late-winter/early-spring outbreaks where high-pressure ridging behind the front enhances radiational cooling. The 17°C outcome held negligible implied probability because sustained warming or measurement discrepancies at official stations like Congonhas were inconsistent with real-time data. Only an unseasonably rapid warm-air advection or localized urban heat effects could have altered resolution, neither of which materialized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 30, 2026, 9:29 AM ET
交易量
$3,860结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 9:29 AM ET已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong cold front advancing from southern Brazil drove the market's near-certain positioning at 14°C or below for São Paulo's September 1 minimum. Official observations and model guidance showed the system advecting cooler polar air, with overnight lows falling to around 11–13°C amid thunderstorms and southerly winds, well below the early-September climatological average of roughly 12–14°C. This aligns with typical late-winter/early-spring outbreaks where high-pressure ridging behind the front enhances radiational cooling. The 17°C outcome held negligible implied probability because sustained warming or measurement discrepancies at official stations like Congonhas were inconsistent with real-time data. Only an unseasonably rapid warm-air advection or localized urban heat effects could have altered resolution, neither of which materialized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,860结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 9:29 AM ET已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
A strong cold front advancing from southern Brazil drove the market's near-certain positioning at 14°C or below for São Paulo's September 1 minimum. Official observations and model guidance showed the system advecting cooler polar air, with overnight lows falling to around 11–13°C amid thunderstorms and southerly winds, well below the early-September climatological average of roughly 12–14°C. This aligns with typical late-winter/early-spring outbreaks where high-pressure ridging behind the front enhances radiational cooling. The 17°C outcome held negligible implied probability because sustained warming or measurement discrepancies at official stations like Congonhas were inconsistent with real-time data. Only an unseasonably rapid warm-air advection or localized urban heat effects could have altered resolution, neither of which materialized.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题