Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a mostly sunny Monday with afternoon highs near 93°F across Houston, driving the 39.5% implied probability for the 92-93°F bin. Limited cloud cover, light winds, and dew points in the mid-70s support surface temperatures climbing into the low-to-mid 90s before any isolated storms develop, consistent with climatological norms around 91°F for early September. The 23% odds on 94-95°F reflect residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing, while lower bins capture downside risks from increased convection. Updated short-range model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月7日休斯顿的最高温度?
94-95°F 44%
92-93°F 41%
90-91华氏度 16%
98-99°F 16%
83华氏度或以下
1%
84-85°F
9%
86-87华氏度
10%
88-89华氏度
8%
90-91华氏度
16%
92-93°F
41%
94-95°F
44%
96-97°F
10%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
10%
102华氏度或更高
9%
94-95°F 44%
92-93°F 41%
90-91华氏度 16%
98-99°F 16%
83华氏度或以下
1%
84-85°F
9%
86-87华氏度
10%
88-89华氏度
8%
90-91华氏度
16%
92-93°F
41%
94-95°F
44%
96-97°F
10%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
10%
102华氏度或更高
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 5, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a mostly sunny Monday with afternoon highs near 93°F across Houston, driving the 39.5% implied probability for the 92-93°F bin. Limited cloud cover, light winds, and dew points in the mid-70s support surface temperatures climbing into the low-to-mid 90s before any isolated storms develop, consistent with climatological norms around 91°F for early September. The 23% odds on 94-95°F reflect residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing, while lower bins capture downside risks from increased convection. Updated short-range model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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