Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate a daytime high near 32°C on September 5, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers and light winds, aligning closely with the market's near-certain 32°C outcome. This reflects typical early-September climatology, where mean maxima hover around 31°C, combined with current atmospheric conditions showing weak steering flow and modest instability that limits significant cooling from convection. Official guidance consistently brackets the peak between 31–32°C, with urban stations often recording the upper end absent heavy rainfall. A late-day surge in cloud cover or unforecast showers could cap readings at 31°C, though model consensus and real-time observations make that outcome improbable before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日香港气温最高？
9月5日香港气温最高？
32°C 99.8%
33°C <1%
31°C <1%
24°C或以下 <1%
$107,310 交易量
$107,310 交易量
2026-09-05
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C或更高
<1%
32°C 99.8%
33°C <1%
31°C <1%
24°C或以下 <1%
$107,310 交易量
$107,310 交易量
2026-09-05
24°C或以下
$2,299 交易量
<1%
25°C
$167 交易量
<1%
26°C
$577 交易量
<1%
27°C
$987 交易量
<1%
28°C
$2,983 交易量
<1%
29°C
$5,508 交易量
<1%
30°C
$17,608 交易量
<1%
31°C
$24,291 交易量
<1%
32°C
$23,990 交易量
100%
33°C
$22,767 交易量
<1%
34°C或更高
$6,134 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate a daytime high near 32°C on September 5, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers and light winds, aligning closely with the market's near-certain 32°C outcome. This reflects typical early-September climatology, where mean maxima hover around 31°C, combined with current atmospheric conditions showing weak steering flow and modest instability that limits significant cooling from convection. Official guidance consistently brackets the peak between 31–32°C, with urban stations often recording the upper end absent heavy rainfall. A late-day surge in cloud cover or unforecast showers could cap readings at 31°C, though model consensus and real-time observations make that outcome improbable before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$107,310结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate a daytime high near 32°C on September 5, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers and light winds, aligning closely with the market's near-certain 32°C outcome. This reflects typical early-September climatology, where mean maxima hover around 31°C, combined with current atmospheric conditions showing weak steering flow and modest instability that limits significant cooling from convection. Official guidance consistently brackets the peak between 31–32°C, with urban stations often recording the upper end absent heavy rainfall. A late-day surge in cloud cover or unforecast showers could cap readings at 31°C, though model consensus and real-time observations make that outcome improbable before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$107,310结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate a daytime high near 32°C on September 5, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers and light winds, aligning closely with the market's near-certain 32°C outcome. This reflects typical early-September climatology, where mean maxima hover around 31°C, combined with current atmospheric conditions showing weak steering flow and modest instability that limits significant cooling from convection. Official guidance consistently brackets the peak between 31–32°C, with urban stations often recording the upper end absent heavy rainfall. A late-day surge in cloud cover or unforecast showers could cap readings at 31°C, though model consensus and real-time observations make that outcome improbable before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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