Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like MetService and international models indicate a maximum of 14–16°C for Wellington on September 5, supported by northwesterly winds, partial cloud cover, and typical early-spring conditions without strong warming signals. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 15°C (51.5%) and 16°C (39.5%), reflecting trader consensus on modest diurnal heating amid moderate wind speeds that limit extreme peaks. El Niño persistence contributes to near-average spring temperatures across the region, with no major model shifts or anomalies noted in the past 48 hours. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine cloud and wind details critical to exact resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日惠灵顿的最高温度？
9月5日惠灵顿的最高温度？
15°C 52%
16°C 40%
17°C 6%
14°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
52%
16°C
40%
17°C
6%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或以上
<1%
15°C 52%
16°C 40%
17°C 6%
14°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
10°C或以下
$250 交易量
<1%
11°C
$403 交易量
<1%
12°C
$324 交易量
<1%
13°C
$561 交易量
2%
14°C
$682 交易量
4%
15°C
$1,888 交易量
52%
16°C
$2,298 交易量
40%
17°C
$657 交易量
6%
18°C
$229 交易量
1%
19°C
$177 交易量
<1%
20°C或以上
$231 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like MetService and international models indicate a maximum of 14–16°C for Wellington on September 5, supported by northwesterly winds, partial cloud cover, and typical early-spring conditions without strong warming signals. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 15°C (51.5%) and 16°C (39.5%), reflecting trader consensus on modest diurnal heating amid moderate wind speeds that limit extreme peaks. El Niño persistence contributes to near-average spring temperatures across the region, with no major model shifts or anomalies noted in the past 48 hours. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine cloud and wind details critical to exact resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$7,700结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like MetService and international models indicate a maximum of 14–16°C for Wellington on September 5, supported by northwesterly winds, partial cloud cover, and typical early-spring conditions without strong warming signals. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 15°C (51.5%) and 16°C (39.5%), reflecting trader consensus on modest diurnal heating amid moderate wind speeds that limit extreme peaks. El Niño persistence contributes to near-average spring temperatures across the region, with no major model shifts or anomalies noted in the past 48 hours. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine cloud and wind details critical to exact resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,700结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent short-term forecasts from agencies like MetService and international models indicate a maximum of 14–16°C for Wellington on September 5, supported by northwesterly winds, partial cloud cover, and typical early-spring conditions without strong warming signals. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 15°C (51.5%) and 16°C (39.5%), reflecting trader consensus on modest diurnal heating amid moderate wind speeds that limit extreme peaks. El Niño persistence contributes to near-average spring temperatures across the region, with no major model shifts or anomalies noted in the past 48 hours. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine cloud and wind details critical to exact resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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