Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate a peak temperature near 27–28°C in Paris on September 3, driven by a building high-pressure ridge and light southwesterly flow advecting mild Atlantic air under mostly partly cloudy skies. This setup favors moderate daytime heating without strong subsidence or clear-sky radiative warming that could push readings higher, while surface winds of 5–10 km/h limit mixing. September climatology places average highs around 22–24°C, so current guidance sits modestly above normal but well short of heatwave thresholds. Traders appear to weigh the tight spread between 27°C and 28°C outcomes against potential model shifts in the next 24–48 hours as higher-resolution runs incorporate fresh observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日巴黎最高气温？
9月3日巴黎最高气温？
28°C 34%
27°C 31%
25°C or below 20%
26°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
25°C or below
20%
26°C
19%
27°C
31%
28°C
25%
29°C
10%
30°C
4%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
28°C 34%
27°C 31%
25°C or below 20%
26°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
25°C or below
$0 交易量
20%
26°C
$60 交易量
19%
27°C
$8 交易量
31%
28°C
$6 交易量
25%
29°C
$27 交易量
10%
30°C
$5 交易量
4%
31°C
$5 交易量
<1%
32°C
$5 交易量
<1%
33°C
$5 交易量
<1%
34°C
$5 交易量
<1%
35°C or higher
$5 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate a peak temperature near 27–28°C in Paris on September 3, driven by a building high-pressure ridge and light southwesterly flow advecting mild Atlantic air under mostly partly cloudy skies. This setup favors moderate daytime heating without strong subsidence or clear-sky radiative warming that could push readings higher, while surface winds of 5–10 km/h limit mixing. September climatology places average highs around 22–24°C, so current guidance sits modestly above normal but well short of heatwave thresholds. Traders appear to weigh the tight spread between 27°C and 28°C outcomes against potential model shifts in the next 24–48 hours as higher-resolution runs incorporate fresh observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$131结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate a peak temperature near 27–28°C in Paris on September 3, driven by a building high-pressure ridge and light southwesterly flow advecting mild Atlantic air under mostly partly cloudy skies. This setup favors moderate daytime heating without strong subsidence or clear-sky radiative warming that could push readings higher, while surface winds of 5–10 km/h limit mixing. September climatology places average highs around 22–24°C, so current guidance sits modestly above normal but well short of heatwave thresholds. Traders appear to weigh the tight spread between 27°C and 28°C outcomes against potential model shifts in the next 24–48 hours as higher-resolution runs incorporate fresh observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$131结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate a peak temperature near 27–28°C in Paris on September 3, driven by a building high-pressure ridge and light southwesterly flow advecting mild Atlantic air under mostly partly cloudy skies. This setup favors moderate daytime heating without strong subsidence or clear-sky radiative warming that could push readings higher, while surface winds of 5–10 km/h limit mixing. September climatology places average highs around 22–24°C, so current guidance sits modestly above normal but well short of heatwave thresholds. Traders appear to weigh the tight spread between 27°C and 28°C outcomes against potential model shifts in the next 24–48 hours as higher-resolution runs incorporate fresh observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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