Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a stable high-pressure pattern over central Europe, with westerly winds of 10-20 km/h and partly to mostly cloudy skies expected to moderate daytime heating in Warsaw on September 3. This setup supports maximum temperatures clustered around 22-24°C, aligning with the market's tight distribution where 23°C holds the highest implied probability. Above-average early September conditions relative to the 16-21°C climatological baseline reflect recent warm advection, while minor model differences in cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing explain the close spread among leading outcomes. Updated runs closer to the date will clarify resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日华沙最高气温？
9月3日华沙最高气温？
23°C 39%
22°C 29%
24°C 24%
20°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
18°C or below
4%
19°C
3%
20°C
12%
21°C
11%
22°C
29%
23°C
39%
24°C
24%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 39%
22°C 29%
24°C 24%
20°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
18°C or below
$5 交易量
4%
19°C
$5 交易量
3%
20°C
$40 交易量
12%
21°C
$0 交易量
11%
22°C
$0 交易量
29%
23°C
$5 交易量
39%
24°C
$5 交易量
24%
25°C
$0 交易量
3%
26°C
$5 交易量
2%
27°C
$111 交易量
<1%
28°C or higher
$225 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a stable high-pressure pattern over central Europe, with westerly winds of 10-20 km/h and partly to mostly cloudy skies expected to moderate daytime heating in Warsaw on September 3. This setup supports maximum temperatures clustered around 22-24°C, aligning with the market's tight distribution where 23°C holds the highest implied probability. Above-average early September conditions relative to the 16-21°C climatological baseline reflect recent warm advection, while minor model differences in cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing explain the close spread among leading outcomes. Updated runs closer to the date will clarify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$402结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a stable high-pressure pattern over central Europe, with westerly winds of 10-20 km/h and partly to mostly cloudy skies expected to moderate daytime heating in Warsaw on September 3. This setup supports maximum temperatures clustered around 22-24°C, aligning with the market's tight distribution where 23°C holds the highest implied probability. Above-average early September conditions relative to the 16-21°C climatological baseline reflect recent warm advection, while minor model differences in cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing explain the close spread among leading outcomes. Updated runs closer to the date will clarify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$402结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate a stable high-pressure pattern over central Europe, with westerly winds of 10-20 km/h and partly to mostly cloudy skies expected to moderate daytime heating in Warsaw on September 3. This setup supports maximum temperatures clustered around 22-24°C, aligning with the market's tight distribution where 23°C holds the highest implied probability. Above-average early September conditions relative to the 16-21°C climatological baseline reflect recent warm advection, while minor model differences in cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing explain the close spread among leading outcomes. Updated runs closer to the date will clarify resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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