Current forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and ensembles like ECMWF indicate a highest temperature in Paris on September 1 likely near 23–24°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. This positioning stems from a transitional pattern with building high pressure and cooler maritime air limiting daytime heating, after recent showers. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty in afternoon clearing and wind speeds, which could shift the peak by 1°C either way depending on exact timing of any cloud breaks. Historical early-September baselines for Paris hover around 22–23°C, making the current model consensus the main driver of trader weighting toward these two closely matched outcomes. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日巴黎最高气温？
9月1日巴黎最高气温？
23°C 40%
24°C 34%
22°C 14%
25°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
20°C or below
3%
21°C
4%
22°C
14%
23°C
40%
24°C
34%
25°C
9%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 40%
24°C 34%
22°C 14%
25°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
20°C or below
$81 交易量
3%
21°C
$32 交易量
4%
22°C
$92 交易量
14%
23°C
$303 交易量
40%
24°C
$643 交易量
34%
25°C
$152 交易量
9%
26°C
$37 交易量
2%
27°C
$32 交易量
<1%
28°C
$32 交易量
<1%
29°C
$534 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$134 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and ensembles like ECMWF indicate a highest temperature in Paris on September 1 likely near 23–24°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. This positioning stems from a transitional pattern with building high pressure and cooler maritime air limiting daytime heating, after recent showers. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty in afternoon clearing and wind speeds, which could shift the peak by 1°C either way depending on exact timing of any cloud breaks. Historical early-September baselines for Paris hover around 22–23°C, making the current model consensus the main driver of trader weighting toward these two closely matched outcomes. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$2,073结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and ensembles like ECMWF indicate a highest temperature in Paris on September 1 likely near 23–24°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. This positioning stems from a transitional pattern with building high pressure and cooler maritime air limiting daytime heating, after recent showers. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty in afternoon clearing and wind speeds, which could shift the peak by 1°C either way depending on exact timing of any cloud breaks. Historical early-September baselines for Paris hover around 22–23°C, making the current model consensus the main driver of trader weighting toward these two closely matched outcomes. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,073结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETCurrent forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and ensembles like ECMWF indicate a highest temperature in Paris on September 1 likely near 23–24°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. This positioning stems from a transitional pattern with building high pressure and cooler maritime air limiting daytime heating, after recent showers. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty in afternoon clearing and wind speeds, which could shift the peak by 1°C either way depending on exact timing of any cloud breaks. Historical early-September baselines for Paris hover around 22–23°C, making the current model consensus the main driver of trader weighting toward these two closely matched outcomes. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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