Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Paris overnight lows on September 1 will likely settle in the 13–15°C range, driving the tight clustering of market probabilities around 13–14°C. Light winds under building high pressure and partly to mostly clear skies after August 30’s cloud cover will enhance radiative cooling overnight, with surface temperatures dropping efficiently once solar heating ceases. Historical September 1 averages near 13°C provide context, while current model consensus shows limited variability from frontal passages or persistent cloud that could moderate the minimum. Traders appear to weigh these factors against minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing and dew points that could shift the low by 1–2°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日巴黎最低气温？
9月1日巴黎最低气温？
15°C 35%
14°C 33%
13°C 26%
16°C 22%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
9°C或以下
12%
10°C
21%
11°C
19%
12°C
14%
13°C
26%
14°C
33%
15°C
35%
16°C
22%
17°C
8%
18°C
8%
19°C或更高
2%
15°C 35%
14°C 33%
13°C 26%
16°C 22%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
9°C或以下
$0 交易量
12%
10°C
$0 交易量
21%
11°C
$0 交易量
19%
12°C
$0 交易量
14%
13°C
$0 交易量
26%
14°C
$0 交易量
33%
15°C
$0 交易量
35%
16°C
$0 交易量
22%
17°C
$0 交易量
8%
18°C
$0 交易量
8%
19°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Paris overnight lows on September 1 will likely settle in the 13–15°C range, driving the tight clustering of market probabilities around 13–14°C. Light winds under building high pressure and partly to mostly clear skies after August 30’s cloud cover will enhance radiative cooling overnight, with surface temperatures dropping efficiently once solar heating ceases. Historical September 1 averages near 13°C provide context, while current model consensus shows limited variability from frontal passages or persistent cloud that could moderate the minimum. Traders appear to weigh these factors against minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing and dew points that could shift the low by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Paris overnight lows on September 1 will likely settle in the 13–15°C range, driving the tight clustering of market probabilities around 13–14°C. Light winds under building high pressure and partly to mostly clear skies after August 30’s cloud cover will enhance radiative cooling overnight, with surface temperatures dropping efficiently once solar heating ceases. Historical September 1 averages near 13°C provide context, while current model consensus shows limited variability from frontal passages or persistent cloud that could moderate the minimum. Traders appear to weigh these factors against minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing and dew points that could shift the low by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate Paris overnight lows on September 1 will likely settle in the 13–15°C range, driving the tight clustering of market probabilities around 13–14°C. Light winds under building high pressure and partly to mostly clear skies after August 30’s cloud cover will enhance radiative cooling overnight, with surface temperatures dropping efficiently once solar heating ceases. Historical September 1 averages near 13°C provide context, while current model consensus shows limited variability from frontal passages or persistent cloud that could moderate the minimum. Traders appear to weigh these factors against minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing and dew points that could shift the low by 1–2°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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