Recent short-range forecasts from Met Office and ensemble guidance show London overnight minima on September 1 likely near the 1991–2020 average of 12.8°C, with most runs indicating 12–15°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly flow, and limited radiational cooling. This central tendency drives the balanced market odds between the 8°C-or-below and 18°C-or-higher thresholds, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or station-specific readings can push the daily minimum across key resolution lines. Historical extremes (record low 6.6°C, high minimum near 17°C) underscore the tail risks still priced by traders. Updated official guidance expected within 24–48 hours will further constrain the distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日伦敦最低气温？
9月1日伦敦最低气温？
18°C或更高 98%
8°C或以下 93%
9°C 48%
10°C 48%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
8°C或以下
93%
9°C
48%
10°C
48%
11°C
48%
12°C
26%
13°C
31%
14°C
40%
15°C
48%
16°C
48%
17°C
2%
18°C或更高
98%
18°C或更高 98%
8°C或以下 93%
9°C 48%
10°C 48%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
8°C或以下
$0 交易量
93%
9°C
$0 交易量
48%
10°C
$0 交易量
48%
11°C
$0 交易量
48%
12°C
$0 交易量
26%
13°C
$0 交易量
31%
14°C
$0 交易量
40%
15°C
$0 交易量
48%
16°C
$0 交易量
48%
17°C
$0 交易量
2%
18°C或更高
$0 交易量
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from Met Office and ensemble guidance show London overnight minima on September 1 likely near the 1991–2020 average of 12.8°C, with most runs indicating 12–15°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly flow, and limited radiational cooling. This central tendency drives the balanced market odds between the 8°C-or-below and 18°C-or-higher thresholds, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or station-specific readings can push the daily minimum across key resolution lines. Historical extremes (record low 6.6°C, high minimum near 17°C) underscore the tail risks still priced by traders. Updated official guidance expected within 24–48 hours will further constrain the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from Met Office and ensemble guidance show London overnight minima on September 1 likely near the 1991–2020 average of 12.8°C, with most runs indicating 12–15°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly flow, and limited radiational cooling. This central tendency drives the balanced market odds between the 8°C-or-below and 18°C-or-higher thresholds, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or station-specific readings can push the daily minimum across key resolution lines. Historical extremes (record low 6.6°C, high minimum near 17°C) underscore the tail risks still priced by traders. Updated official guidance expected within 24–48 hours will further constrain the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent short-range forecasts from Met Office and ensemble guidance show London overnight minima on September 1 likely near the 1991–2020 average of 12.8°C, with most runs indicating 12–15°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly flow, and limited radiational cooling. This central tendency drives the balanced market odds between the 8°C-or-below and 18°C-or-higher thresholds, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or station-specific readings can push the daily minimum across key resolution lines. Historical extremes (record low 6.6°C, high minimum near 17°C) underscore the tail risks still priced by traders. Updated official guidance expected within 24–48 hours will further constrain the distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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