A low-pressure system approaching from the South China Sea is driving heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover across northern Taiwan on September 1, suppressing daytime heating and favoring maximum temperatures near 27–28°C. Official Central Weather Administration guidance highlights unstable conditions with 65–90% precipitation chances and potential tropical depression development, which enhances evaporative cooling, reduces solar insolation, and shifts steering winds. These factors differentiate market-implied odds clustered at 31–33°C from lower outcomes, as model consensus on rain timing and intensity remains the dominant uncertainty ahead of resolution. Historical September baselines near 30°C provide limited precedent for such transient suppression.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日台北气温最高?
32°C 28%
31°C 24%
33°C 19%
30°C 14%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
14%
31°C
24%
32°C
28%
33°C
19%
34°C
12%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 28%
31°C 24%
33°C 19%
30°C 14%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
14%
31°C
24%
32°C
28%
33°C
19%
34°C
12%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
A low-pressure system approaching from the South China Sea is driving heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover across northern Taiwan on September 1, suppressing daytime heating and favoring maximum temperatures near 27–28°C. Official Central Weather Administration guidance highlights unstable conditions with 65–90% precipitation chances and potential tropical depression development, which enhances evaporative cooling, reduces solar insolation, and shifts steering winds. These factors differentiate market-implied odds clustered at 31–33°C from lower outcomes, as model consensus on rain timing and intensity remains the dominant uncertainty ahead of resolution. Historical September baselines near 30°C provide limited precedent for such transient suppression.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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