Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and supporting models show Taipei's overnight low on August 31 likely falling in the 25–27°C range, driven by a persistent low-pressure system delivering southwesterly moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions have kept recent nightly minima near or slightly above seasonal norms for late August, with trader consensus concentrating implied probability on 26–27°C outcomes. Model runs show limited downside risk below 25°C absent clearer skies or stronger northeasterly flow, while the small probability mass above 28°C reflects residual uncertainty ahead of the next CWA update and any intensification of the low-pressure area.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日台北气温最低？
8月31日台北气温最低？
29°C 49%
27°C 38%
26°C 27%
23°C 25%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
22°C or below
2%
23°C
25%
24°C
24%
25°C
23%
26°C
27%
27°C
38%
28°C
25%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
5%
29°C 49%
27°C 38%
26°C 27%
23°C 25%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
22°C or below
$140 交易量
2%
23°C
$0 交易量
25%
24°C
$0 交易量
24%
25°C
$0 交易量
23%
26°C
$0 交易量
27%
27°C
$0 交易量
38%
28°C
$0 交易量
25%
29°C
$0 交易量
49%
30°C
$0 交易量
2%
31°C
$5 交易量
3%
32°C or higher
$200 交易量
5%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and supporting models show Taipei's overnight low on August 31 likely falling in the 25–27°C range, driven by a persistent low-pressure system delivering southwesterly moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions have kept recent nightly minima near or slightly above seasonal norms for late August, with trader consensus concentrating implied probability on 26–27°C outcomes. Model runs show limited downside risk below 25°C absent clearer skies or stronger northeasterly flow, while the small probability mass above 28°C reflects residual uncertainty ahead of the next CWA update and any intensification of the low-pressure area.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$345结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and supporting models show Taipei's overnight low on August 31 likely falling in the 25–27°C range, driven by a persistent low-pressure system delivering southwesterly moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions have kept recent nightly minima near or slightly above seasonal norms for late August, with trader consensus concentrating implied probability on 26–27°C outcomes. Model runs show limited downside risk below 25°C absent clearer skies or stronger northeasterly flow, while the small probability mass above 28°C reflects residual uncertainty ahead of the next CWA update and any intensification of the low-pressure area.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$345结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and supporting models show Taipei's overnight low on August 31 likely falling in the 25–27°C range, driven by a persistent low-pressure system delivering southwesterly moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions have kept recent nightly minima near or slightly above seasonal norms for late August, with trader consensus concentrating implied probability on 26–27°C outcomes. Model runs show limited downside risk below 25°C absent clearer skies or stronger northeasterly flow, while the small probability mass above 28°C reflects residual uncertainty ahead of the next CWA update and any intensification of the low-pressure area.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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