Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from global models indicate peak daily maximum temperatures in Chengdu on September 1 likely centered near 33–34 °C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly flow. This reflects the lingering influence of late-summer monsoon moisture and surface radiative heating before the typical early-September cooling trend driven by increasing cloud cover and weakening subtropical high pressure. Historical September averages near 29–30 °C provide context, yet current warm anomalies and low precipitation probability support the market’s concentration on 33–35 °C outcomes. Traders weigh short-term model updates and local urban heat-island effects ahead of final verification by official surface observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日成都气温最高？
9月1日成都气温最高？
34°C 29%
35°C 23%
36°C 19%
33°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
14%
34°C
29%
35°C
23%
36°C
19%
37°C
7%
38°C or higher
3%
34°C 29%
35°C 23%
36°C 19%
33°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
28°C or below
$110 交易量
<1%
29°C
$0 交易量
4%
30°C
$0 交易量
4%
31°C
$10 交易量
2%
32°C
$20 交易量
6%
33°C
$0 交易量
14%
34°C
$9 交易量
29%
35°C
$0 交易量
23%
36°C
$103 交易量
19%
37°C
$95 交易量
7%
38°C or higher
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from global models indicate peak daily maximum temperatures in Chengdu on September 1 likely centered near 33–34 °C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly flow. This reflects the lingering influence of late-summer monsoon moisture and surface radiative heating before the typical early-September cooling trend driven by increasing cloud cover and weakening subtropical high pressure. Historical September averages near 29–30 °C provide context, yet current warm anomalies and low precipitation probability support the market’s concentration on 33–35 °C outcomes. Traders weigh short-term model updates and local urban heat-island effects ahead of final verification by official surface observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$346结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from global models indicate peak daily maximum temperatures in Chengdu on September 1 likely centered near 33–34 °C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly flow. This reflects the lingering influence of late-summer monsoon moisture and surface radiative heating before the typical early-September cooling trend driven by increasing cloud cover and weakening subtropical high pressure. Historical September averages near 29–30 °C provide context, yet current warm anomalies and low precipitation probability support the market’s concentration on 33–35 °C outcomes. Traders weigh short-term model updates and local urban heat-island effects ahead of final verification by official surface observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$346结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction ensembles from global models indicate peak daily maximum temperatures in Chengdu on September 1 likely centered near 33–34 °C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly flow. This reflects the lingering influence of late-summer monsoon moisture and surface radiative heating before the typical early-September cooling trend driven by increasing cloud cover and weakening subtropical high pressure. Historical September averages near 29–30 °C provide context, yet current warm anomalies and low precipitation probability support the market’s concentration on 33–35 °C outcomes. Traders weigh short-term model updates and local urban heat-island effects ahead of final verification by official surface observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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