Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models place Wuhan's September 1 high near 29–31 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 30 °C (26 %) and 29 °C (24.5 %). A brief cooling episode driven by peripheral flow from western Pacific typhoons and associated rainfall is moderating late-August heat, yet subtropical humidity, light northeasterly winds, and persistent warm advection keep daytime maxima close to the early-September climatological average of roughly 30 °C. Model spreads reflect typical uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover, with lighter rain chances on the day itself limiting further cooling. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will sharpen resolution criteria for this single-day temperature market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日武汉最高气温?
29°C 27%
30°C 25%
27°C 20%
28°C 16%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
20%
28°C
16%
29°C
27%
30°C
25%
31°C
12%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
6%
29°C 27%
30°C 25%
27°C 20%
28°C 16%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
20%
28°C
16%
29°C
27%
30°C
25%
31°C
12%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models place Wuhan's September 1 high near 29–31 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 30 °C (26 %) and 29 °C (24.5 %). A brief cooling episode driven by peripheral flow from western Pacific typhoons and associated rainfall is moderating late-August heat, yet subtropical humidity, light northeasterly winds, and persistent warm advection keep daytime maxima close to the early-September climatological average of roughly 30 °C. Model spreads reflect typical uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover, with lighter rain chances on the day itself limiting further cooling. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will sharpen resolution criteria for this single-day temperature market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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