Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international providers indicate a daily minimum near 23–25°C for Wuhan on September 1, driven by persistent northeasterly flow and residual moisture from peripheral typhoon influences that began moderating late-August heat. Recent observations show a cooling sequence with overnight lows dropping from the upper 20s to the mid-20s amid increased cloud cover and light rain chances, consistent with historical September climatology for the Yangtze valley. Trader consensus across the tightly grouped 20–25°C outcomes reflects uncertainty over final model adjustments, local urban heat-island effects, and exact timing of any clearing that could alter the overnight minimum by 1–2°C. Updated guidance from the National Meteorological Center and station data releases in the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日武汉最低气温?
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
25°C 49%
22°C 27%
18°C or below
6%
19°C
19%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
27%
23°C
26%
24°C
25%
25°C
49%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
25°C 49%
22°C 27%
18°C or below
6%
19°C
19%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
27%
23°C
26%
24°C
25%
25°C
49%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international providers indicate a daily minimum near 23–25°C for Wuhan on September 1, driven by persistent northeasterly flow and residual moisture from peripheral typhoon influences that began moderating late-August heat. Recent observations show a cooling sequence with overnight lows dropping from the upper 20s to the mid-20s amid increased cloud cover and light rain chances, consistent with historical September climatology for the Yangtze valley. Trader consensus across the tightly grouped 20–25°C outcomes reflects uncertainty over final model adjustments, local urban heat-island effects, and exact timing of any clearing that could alter the overnight minimum by 1–2°C. Updated guidance from the National Meteorological Center and station data releases in the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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