Recent forecasts from multiple models and services, including GFS and local meteorological data, indicate mostly sunny conditions over Istanbul on September 1 with light to moderate northeast winds and highs centered near 28°C, though some runs and sites project 27–29°C depending on exact cloud cover and timing of peak heating. This narrow range, combined with typical model spread of 1–2°C in short-range predictions for the region, underpins the tight contest between 26°C and 27°C in trader positioning. Late-August observations have shown daytime maxima fluctuating between 27–30°C amid generally stable high pressure, with no major synoptic shifts expected before the date. Official resolution will hinge on the precise maximum recorded at the primary Istanbul station, where small variations in insolation or advection can decide the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度?
26°C 48%
27°C 45%
25°C 5%
28°C 5%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
5%
26°C
48%
27°C
45%
28°C
5%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 48%
27°C 45%
25°C 5%
28°C 5%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
5%
26°C
48%
27°C
45%
28°C
5%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models and services, including GFS and local meteorological data, indicate mostly sunny conditions over Istanbul on September 1 with light to moderate northeast winds and highs centered near 28°C, though some runs and sites project 27–29°C depending on exact cloud cover and timing of peak heating. This narrow range, combined with typical model spread of 1–2°C in short-range predictions for the region, underpins the tight contest between 26°C and 27°C in trader positioning. Late-August observations have shown daytime maxima fluctuating between 27–30°C amid generally stable high pressure, with no major synoptic shifts expected before the date. Official resolution will hinge on the precise maximum recorded at the primary Istanbul station, where small variations in insolation or advection can decide the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题