Recent forecasts from multiple sources, including national meteorological services and global models, indicate a high of 30–31°C in Tel Aviv on August 30, driven by a modest cool-down from the prior day's clearer, warmer conditions near 32–33°C. Westerly winds and increased low-level moisture are expected to produce partly cloudy skies with a low chance of light drizzle or showers, limiting surface heating and capping the daily maximum. These factors align with late-August climatology for the coastal plain, where sea breezes and occasional weak synoptic influences typically keep highs in the 29–32°C range. Market-implied odds heavily favor 31°C because ensemble guidance shows strong consensus around that threshold, with lower probabilities for 30°C or 32°C reflecting minor model spread in cloud cover and timing of any precipitation. No significant heat advection or blocking patterns are present to push temperatures higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日特拉维夫的最高温度?
31°C 66%
32°C 27%
30°C 7%
33°C 1.9%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
66%
32°C
27%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 66%
32°C 27%
30°C 7%
33°C 1.9%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
66%
32°C
27%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple sources, including national meteorological services and global models, indicate a high of 30–31°C in Tel Aviv on August 30, driven by a modest cool-down from the prior day's clearer, warmer conditions near 32–33°C. Westerly winds and increased low-level moisture are expected to produce partly cloudy skies with a low chance of light drizzle or showers, limiting surface heating and capping the daily maximum. These factors align with late-August climatology for the coastal plain, where sea breezes and occasional weak synoptic influences typically keep highs in the 29–32°C range. Market-implied odds heavily favor 31°C because ensemble guidance shows strong consensus around that threshold, with lower probabilities for 30°C or 32°C reflecting minor model spread in cloud cover and timing of any precipitation. No significant heat advection or blocking patterns are present to push temperatures higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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