Recent model guidance for Munich on September 1 shows overnight lows centered near 13°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 12.3°C. Trader sentiment remains closely split between a cold tail (9°C or below at 47.5% implied probability) and a warm tail (19°C or higher at 46.0%) because ensemble forecasts exhibit notable spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and possible late adjustments from passing weak fronts. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover modulating longwave radiative loss, subtle shifts in 850 hPa temperatures, and surface wind speeds that control mixing; these elements can swing the minimum by several degrees even within the final 48-hour window. Upcoming high-resolution model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日慕尼黑最低气温？
9月1日慕尼黑最低气温？
9°C or below 88%
19°C or higher 59%
10°C 49%
14°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
9°C or below
88%
10°C
49%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
49%
15°C
41%
16°C
2%
17°C
43%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
59%
9°C or below 88%
19°C or higher 59%
10°C 49%
14°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
9°C or below
$0 交易量
88%
10°C
$0 交易量
49%
11°C
$0 交易量
27%
12°C
$0 交易量
27%
13°C
$0 交易量
27%
14°C
$0 交易量
49%
15°C
$0 交易量
41%
16°C
$0 交易量
2%
17°C
$0 交易量
43%
18°C
$0 交易量
8%
19°C or higher
$0 交易量
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance for Munich on September 1 shows overnight lows centered near 13°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 12.3°C. Trader sentiment remains closely split between a cold tail (9°C or below at 47.5% implied probability) and a warm tail (19°C or higher at 46.0%) because ensemble forecasts exhibit notable spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and possible late adjustments from passing weak fronts. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover modulating longwave radiative loss, subtle shifts in 850 hPa temperatures, and surface wind speeds that control mixing; these elements can swing the minimum by several degrees even within the final 48-hour window. Upcoming high-resolution model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance for Munich on September 1 shows overnight lows centered near 13°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 12.3°C. Trader sentiment remains closely split between a cold tail (9°C or below at 47.5% implied probability) and a warm tail (19°C or higher at 46.0%) because ensemble forecasts exhibit notable spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and possible late adjustments from passing weak fronts. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover modulating longwave radiative loss, subtle shifts in 850 hPa temperatures, and surface wind speeds that control mixing; these elements can swing the minimum by several degrees even within the final 48-hour window. Upcoming high-resolution model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent model guidance for Munich on September 1 shows overnight lows centered near 13°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 12.3°C. Trader sentiment remains closely split between a cold tail (9°C or below at 47.5% implied probability) and a warm tail (19°C or higher at 46.0%) because ensemble forecasts exhibit notable spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and possible late adjustments from passing weak fronts. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover modulating longwave radiative loss, subtle shifts in 850 hPa temperatures, and surface wind speeds that control mixing; these elements can swing the minimum by several degrees even within the final 48-hour window. Upcoming high-resolution model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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