Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration shows increased cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and moderate northeast winds associated with an approaching weather system, which are expected to limit daytime solar heating and cap the maximum temperature in Shanghai on September 2. Forecasts cluster between 28–30 °C, with precipitation timing and intensity creating the narrow spread reflected in trader probabilities favoring 29 °C. These conditions contrast with warmer, clearer days earlier in the week, when highs reached 31–33 °C. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak, particularly if rainfall arrives earlier or is heavier than currently projected.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日上海气温最高？
9月2日上海气温最高？
29°C 36%
30°C 29%
28°C 20%
31°C 13%
最新
$30,991 交易量
最新
$30,991 交易量
2026-09-02
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
20%
29°C
36%
30°C
29%
31°C
13%
32°C
3%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 36%
30°C 29%
28°C 20%
31°C 13%
最新
$30,991 交易量
最新
$30,991 交易量
2026-09-02
25°C or below
$3,601 交易量
1%
26°C
$1,936 交易量
1%
27°C
$1,030 交易量
4%
28°C
$3,831 交易量
20%
29°C
$7,471 交易量
36%
30°C
$4,579 交易量
29%
31°C
$6,133 交易量
13%
32°C
$898 交易量
3%
33°C
$873 交易量
<1%
34°C
$346 交易量
<1%
35°C or higher
$432 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration shows increased cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and moderate northeast winds associated with an approaching weather system, which are expected to limit daytime solar heating and cap the maximum temperature in Shanghai on September 2. Forecasts cluster between 28–30 °C, with precipitation timing and intensity creating the narrow spread reflected in trader probabilities favoring 29 °C. These conditions contrast with warmer, clearer days earlier in the week, when highs reached 31–33 °C. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak, particularly if rainfall arrives earlier or is heavier than currently projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$30,991结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration shows increased cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and moderate northeast winds associated with an approaching weather system, which are expected to limit daytime solar heating and cap the maximum temperature in Shanghai on September 2. Forecasts cluster between 28–30 °C, with precipitation timing and intensity creating the narrow spread reflected in trader probabilities favoring 29 °C. These conditions contrast with warmer, clearer days earlier in the week, when highs reached 31–33 °C. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak, particularly if rainfall arrives earlier or is heavier than currently projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$30,991结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration shows increased cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and moderate northeast winds associated with an approaching weather system, which are expected to limit daytime solar heating and cap the maximum temperature in Shanghai on September 2. Forecasts cluster between 28–30 °C, with precipitation timing and intensity creating the narrow spread reflected in trader probabilities favoring 29 °C. These conditions contrast with warmer, clearer days earlier in the week, when highs reached 31–33 °C. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak, particularly if rainfall arrives earlier or is heavier than currently projected.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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