Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daytime high near 22°C in Amsterdam on September 3, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Current conditions feature mild temperatures and light winds, with ensembles showing tight clustering around 21–23°C amid typical early-September variability in the North Sea region. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 22°C because most guidance caps the peak below 23°C while exceeding 21°C, though small shifts in timing of rain or wind speed could tip the exact maximum. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
9月3日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
22°C 48%
23°C 40%
21°C 16%
24°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
16%
22°C
48%
23°C
40%
24°C
14%
25°C或更高
2%
22°C 48%
23°C 40%
21°C 16%
24°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
15°C或以下
$16 交易量
<1%
16°C
$16 交易量
<1%
17°C
$16 交易量
<1%
18°C
$16 交易量
1%
19°C
$16 交易量
1%
20°C
$21 交易量
2%
21°C
$16 交易量
16%
22°C
$90 交易量
48%
23°C
$34 交易量
40%
24°C
$12 交易量
14%
25°C或更高
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daytime high near 22°C in Amsterdam on September 3, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Current conditions feature mild temperatures and light winds, with ensembles showing tight clustering around 21–23°C amid typical early-September variability in the North Sea region. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 22°C because most guidance caps the peak below 23°C while exceeding 21°C, though small shifts in timing of rain or wind speed could tip the exact maximum. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$261结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daytime high near 22°C in Amsterdam on September 3, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Current conditions feature mild temperatures and light winds, with ensembles showing tight clustering around 21–23°C amid typical early-September variability in the North Sea region. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 22°C because most guidance caps the peak below 23°C while exceeding 21°C, though small shifts in timing of rain or wind speed could tip the exact maximum. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$261结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daytime high near 22°C in Amsterdam on September 3, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Current conditions feature mild temperatures and light winds, with ensembles showing tight clustering around 21–23°C amid typical early-September variability in the North Sea region. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 22°C because most guidance caps the peak below 23°C while exceeding 21°C, though small shifts in timing of rain or wind speed could tip the exact maximum. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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