Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with NOAA and European centers, indicate a stable high-pressure pattern with mostly sunny skies and northeasterly winds of 10-20 km/h over Istanbul on September 3, supporting a daily maximum temperature of 27-29°C. This aligns with early-September climatology near 27-28°C and recent observations showing daytime peaks around 28-30°C without significant moisture or frontal activity to alter the trend. Trader consensus heavily weighting 26°C likely reflects model spread, potential measurement at the official station, or slight cooling signals in the latest runs, while lower probabilities for 27-28°C capture upside risks from any model underestimation of insolation. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine these short-term probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
9月3日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
26°C 60%
25°C 21%
27°C 16%
28°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
21%
26°C
60%
27°C
16%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 60%
25°C 21%
27°C 16%
28°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
21°C or below
$120 交易量
<1%
22°C
$177 交易量
1%
23°C
$135 交易量
1%
24°C
$84 交易量
3%
25°C
$498 交易量
21%
26°C
$2,565 交易量
60%
27°C
$123 交易量
16%
28°C
$81 交易量
4%
29°C
$257 交易量
1%
30°C
$86 交易量
1%
31°C or higher
$41 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with NOAA and European centers, indicate a stable high-pressure pattern with mostly sunny skies and northeasterly winds of 10-20 km/h over Istanbul on September 3, supporting a daily maximum temperature of 27-29°C. This aligns with early-September climatology near 27-28°C and recent observations showing daytime peaks around 28-30°C without significant moisture or frontal activity to alter the trend. Trader consensus heavily weighting 26°C likely reflects model spread, potential measurement at the official station, or slight cooling signals in the latest runs, while lower probabilities for 27-28°C capture upside risks from any model underestimation of insolation. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine these short-term probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$4,168结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with NOAA and European centers, indicate a stable high-pressure pattern with mostly sunny skies and northeasterly winds of 10-20 km/h over Istanbul on September 3, supporting a daily maximum temperature of 27-29°C. This aligns with early-September climatology near 27-28°C and recent observations showing daytime peaks around 28-30°C without significant moisture or frontal activity to alter the trend. Trader consensus heavily weighting 26°C likely reflects model spread, potential measurement at the official station, or slight cooling signals in the latest runs, while lower probabilities for 27-28°C capture upside risks from any model underestimation of insolation. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine these short-term probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,168结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with NOAA and European centers, indicate a stable high-pressure pattern with mostly sunny skies and northeasterly winds of 10-20 km/h over Istanbul on September 3, supporting a daily maximum temperature of 27-29°C. This aligns with early-September climatology near 27-28°C and recent observations showing daytime peaks around 28-30°C without significant moisture or frontal activity to alter the trend. Trader consensus heavily weighting 26°C likely reflects model spread, potential measurement at the official station, or slight cooling signals in the latest runs, while lower probabilities for 27-28°C capture upside risks from any model underestimation of insolation. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine these short-term probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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