Current forecasts from multiple models place Mexico City’s overnight low on September 3 near 13 °C, consistent with early-September climatology at the city’s 2,240 m elevation, where radiational cooling under partly cloudy, rainy-season skies can produce rapid drops after sunset. Thunderstorms and associated cloud cover moderate extremes while also enhancing evaporative cooling and localized downdrafts that traders appear to weigh as plausible paths to readings at or below 8 °C—the market’s leading outcome at 43.5 % implied probability. Historical September minima have reached 9 °C on this date, underscoring the tail risk that keeps 11–14 °C buckets clustered at 25–29 %; higher thresholds above 15 °C carry negligible odds. Updated model runs and official station data later today will clarify whether the consensus 13 °C floor holds or yields to cooler microscale conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于墨西哥城9月3日的最低温度？
墨西哥城9月3日的最低温度？
8°C或以下 87%
9°C 50%
10°C 50%
11°C 35%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
8°C或以下
87%
9°C
50%
10°C
50%
11°C
35%
12°C
35%
13°C
35%
14°C
35%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C或更高
<1%
8°C或以下 87%
9°C 50%
10°C 50%
11°C 35%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
8°C或以下
$62 交易量
87%
9°C
$12 交易量
50%
10°C
$12 交易量
50%
11°C
$2 交易量
35%
12°C
$0 交易量
35%
13°C
$0 交易量
35%
14°C
$0 交易量
35%
15°C
$186 交易量
<1%
16°C
$112 交易量
<1%
17°C
$62 交易量
<1%
18°C或更高
$87 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models place Mexico City’s overnight low on September 3 near 13 °C, consistent with early-September climatology at the city’s 2,240 m elevation, where radiational cooling under partly cloudy, rainy-season skies can produce rapid drops after sunset. Thunderstorms and associated cloud cover moderate extremes while also enhancing evaporative cooling and localized downdrafts that traders appear to weigh as plausible paths to readings at or below 8 °C—the market’s leading outcome at 43.5 % implied probability. Historical September minima have reached 9 °C on this date, underscoring the tail risk that keeps 11–14 °C buckets clustered at 25–29 %; higher thresholds above 15 °C carry negligible odds. Updated model runs and official station data later today will clarify whether the consensus 13 °C floor holds or yields to cooler microscale conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
交易量
$535结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models place Mexico City’s overnight low on September 3 near 13 °C, consistent with early-September climatology at the city’s 2,240 m elevation, where radiational cooling under partly cloudy, rainy-season skies can produce rapid drops after sunset. Thunderstorms and associated cloud cover moderate extremes while also enhancing evaporative cooling and localized downdrafts that traders appear to weigh as plausible paths to readings at or below 8 °C—the market’s leading outcome at 43.5 % implied probability. Historical September minima have reached 9 °C on this date, underscoring the tail risk that keeps 11–14 °C buckets clustered at 25–29 %; higher thresholds above 15 °C carry negligible odds. Updated model runs and official station data later today will clarify whether the consensus 13 °C floor holds or yields to cooler microscale conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$535结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple models place Mexico City’s overnight low on September 3 near 13 °C, consistent with early-September climatology at the city’s 2,240 m elevation, where radiational cooling under partly cloudy, rainy-season skies can produce rapid drops after sunset. Thunderstorms and associated cloud cover moderate extremes while also enhancing evaporative cooling and localized downdrafts that traders appear to weigh as plausible paths to readings at or below 8 °C—the market’s leading outcome at 43.5 % implied probability. Historical September minima have reached 9 °C on this date, underscoring the tail risk that keeps 11–14 °C buckets clustered at 25–29 %; higher thresholds above 15 °C carry negligible odds. Updated model runs and official station data later today will clarify whether the consensus 13 °C floor holds or yields to cooler microscale conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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