Recent northwesterly winds and associated warm advection have elevated trader expectations for Wellington's September 3 maximum, with models showing highs near 15–16 °C amid strong flow that favors adiabatic warming on the lee side of terrain. Historical September averages hover around 13–14 °C, yet current guidance from agencies including MetService and international ensembles indicates limited cooling from cloud cover or frontal passages before the 48-hour window. The near-even split between 16 °C and 17 °C implied probabilities reflects uncertainty in peak solar heating under variable high cloud and the precise strength of downslope winds, with resolution hinging on the final observed daily maximum from official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日惠灵顿的最高温度？
9月3日惠灵顿的最高温度？
16°C 50%
17°C 43%
18°C 6%
15°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
4%
16°C
50%
17°C
43%
18°C
6%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 50%
17°C 43%
18°C 6%
15°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
10°C or below
$198 交易量
<1%
11°C
$275 交易量
<1%
12°C
$281 交易量
<1%
13°C
$301 交易量
<1%
14°C
$295 交易量
<1%
15°C
$1,218 交易量
4%
16°C
$551 交易量
50%
17°C
$1,678 交易量
43%
18°C
$308 交易量
6%
19°C
$292 交易量
2%
20°C or higher
$284 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northwesterly winds and associated warm advection have elevated trader expectations for Wellington's September 3 maximum, with models showing highs near 15–16 °C amid strong flow that favors adiabatic warming on the lee side of terrain. Historical September averages hover around 13–14 °C, yet current guidance from agencies including MetService and international ensembles indicates limited cooling from cloud cover or frontal passages before the 48-hour window. The near-even split between 16 °C and 17 °C implied probabilities reflects uncertainty in peak solar heating under variable high cloud and the precise strength of downslope winds, with resolution hinging on the final observed daily maximum from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$5,681结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northwesterly winds and associated warm advection have elevated trader expectations for Wellington's September 3 maximum, with models showing highs near 15–16 °C amid strong flow that favors adiabatic warming on the lee side of terrain. Historical September averages hover around 13–14 °C, yet current guidance from agencies including MetService and international ensembles indicates limited cooling from cloud cover or frontal passages before the 48-hour window. The near-even split between 16 °C and 17 °C implied probabilities reflects uncertainty in peak solar heating under variable high cloud and the precise strength of downslope winds, with resolution hinging on the final observed daily maximum from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,681结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent northwesterly winds and associated warm advection have elevated trader expectations for Wellington's September 3 maximum, with models showing highs near 15–16 °C amid strong flow that favors adiabatic warming on the lee side of terrain. Historical September averages hover around 13–14 °C, yet current guidance from agencies including MetService and international ensembles indicates limited cooling from cloud cover or frontal passages before the 48-hour window. The near-even split between 16 °C and 17 °C implied probabilities reflects uncertainty in peak solar heating under variable high cloud and the precise strength of downslope winds, with resolution hinging on the final observed daily maximum from official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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