Recent forecasts for São Paulo on September 3, 2026, show overnight lows clustering near 11–13°C amid clear to mostly clear skies and light variable winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. Radiative cooling under low cloud cover enables efficient longwave heat loss from the surface, while modest humidity and dew points near 11–12°C limit additional warming from condensation. Slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects in the metropolitan area create the narrow spread between 11°C, 12°C, and 13°C outcomes, with historical September minima averaging about 12°C providing context. Traders appear to weigh the latest model consensus against potential measurement variations at official stations, keeping probabilities closely matched as the day unfolds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日圣保罗最低温度？
9月3日圣保罗最低温度？
17°C或更高 91%
16°C 69%
12°C 49%
13°C 45%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
7°C或以下
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
4%
10°C
5%
11°C
41%
12°C
49%
13°C
45%
14°C
40%
15°C
2%
16°C
69%
17°C或更高
91%
17°C或更高 91%
16°C 69%
12°C 49%
13°C 45%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
7°C或以下
$12 交易量
1%
8°C
$86 交易量
1%
9°C
$71 交易量
4%
10°C
$91 交易量
5%
11°C
$129 交易量
41%
12°C
$3 交易量
49%
13°C
$0 交易量
45%
14°C
$0 交易量
40%
15°C
$100 交易量
2%
16°C
$62 交易量
69%
17°C或更高
$62 交易量
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for São Paulo on September 3, 2026, show overnight lows clustering near 11–13°C amid clear to mostly clear skies and light variable winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. Radiative cooling under low cloud cover enables efficient longwave heat loss from the surface, while modest humidity and dew points near 11–12°C limit additional warming from condensation. Slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects in the metropolitan area create the narrow spread between 11°C, 12°C, and 13°C outcomes, with historical September minima averaging about 12°C providing context. Traders appear to weigh the latest model consensus against potential measurement variations at official stations, keeping probabilities closely matched as the day unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
交易量
$617结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 8:28 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for São Paulo on September 3, 2026, show overnight lows clustering near 11–13°C amid clear to mostly clear skies and light variable winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. Radiative cooling under low cloud cover enables efficient longwave heat loss from the surface, while modest humidity and dew points near 11–12°C limit additional warming from condensation. Slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects in the metropolitan area create the narrow spread between 11°C, 12°C, and 13°C outcomes, with historical September minima averaging about 12°C providing context. Traders appear to weigh the latest model consensus against potential measurement variations at official stations, keeping probabilities closely matched as the day unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$617结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 8:28 AM ETRecent forecasts for São Paulo on September 3, 2026, show overnight lows clustering near 11–13°C amid clear to mostly clear skies and light variable winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. Radiative cooling under low cloud cover enables efficient longwave heat loss from the surface, while modest humidity and dew points near 11–12°C limit additional warming from condensation. Slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects in the metropolitan area create the narrow spread between 11°C, 12°C, and 13°C outcomes, with historical September minima averaging about 12°C providing context. Traders appear to weigh the latest model consensus against potential measurement variations at official stations, keeping probabilities closely matched as the day unfolds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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