Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and Yr.no points to a minimum temperature of 12–13°C in São Paulo on September 2, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, moderate southerly to southeasterly winds, and radiational cooling under high pressure. This aligns with the market's near-even split between those two outcomes, as ensemble spreads remain narrow but allow for minor variations based on exact cloud cover or wind shifts. Historical September minima average near 12°C, providing context for the tight clustering around these values rather than warmer or colder extremes. Traders are monitoring the final official reading from the primary INMET station, with any last model updates before midnight local time likely to refine positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日圣保罗最低温度？
9月2日圣保罗最低温度？
19°C或更高 94%
15°C 90%
9°C或以下 87%
10°C 76%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
9°C或以下
87%
10°C
76%
11°C
76%
12°C
52%
13°C
49%
14°C
75%
15°C
90%
16°C
76%
17°C
2%
18°C
70%
19°C或更高
94%
19°C或更高 94%
15°C 90%
9°C或以下 87%
10°C 76%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
9°C或以下
$15 交易量
87%
10°C
$0 交易量
76%
11°C
$0 交易量
76%
12°C
$0 交易量
52%
13°C
$0 交易量
49%
14°C
$0 交易量
75%
15°C
$0 交易量
90%
16°C
$15 交易量
76%
17°C
$5 交易量
2%
18°C
$5 交易量
70%
19°C或更高
$5 交易量
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and Yr.no points to a minimum temperature of 12–13°C in São Paulo on September 2, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, moderate southerly to southeasterly winds, and radiational cooling under high pressure. This aligns with the market's near-even split between those two outcomes, as ensemble spreads remain narrow but allow for minor variations based on exact cloud cover or wind shifts. Historical September minima average near 12°C, providing context for the tight clustering around these values rather than warmer or colder extremes. Traders are monitoring the final official reading from the primary INMET station, with any last model updates before midnight local time likely to refine positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
交易量
$45结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 8:28 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and Yr.no points to a minimum temperature of 12–13°C in São Paulo on September 2, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, moderate southerly to southeasterly winds, and radiational cooling under high pressure. This aligns with the market's near-even split between those two outcomes, as ensemble spreads remain narrow but allow for minor variations based on exact cloud cover or wind shifts. Historical September minima average near 12°C, providing context for the tight clustering around these values rather than warmer or colder extremes. Traders are monitoring the final official reading from the primary INMET station, with any last model updates before midnight local time likely to refine positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$45结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 8:28 AM ETRecent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and Yr.no points to a minimum temperature of 12–13°C in São Paulo on September 2, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, moderate southerly to southeasterly winds, and radiational cooling under high pressure. This aligns with the market's near-even split between those two outcomes, as ensemble spreads remain narrow but allow for minor variations based on exact cloud cover or wind shifts. Historical September minima average near 12°C, providing context for the tight clustering around these values rather than warmer or colder extremes. Traders are monitoring the final official reading from the primary INMET station, with any last model updates before midnight local time likely to refine positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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