Current ensemble forecasts for Incheon/Seoul on September 1 indicate a daily maximum near 26–28°C, driven by lingering moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers from a weakening frontal system that limits solar heating. These conditions align closely with early-September climatology while suppressing peaks that would otherwise reach the low 30s under clearer skies. Subtle differences in model timing for any afternoon clearing or wind shifts explain the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 26–28°C, with uncertainty in precipitation duration and boundary-layer mixing as the main variables. Updated runs from global and regional models over the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution criteria for this temperature threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
9月1日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
27°C 36%
28°C 27%
26°C 25%
25°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
25%
27°C
36%
28°C
27%
29°C
7%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 36%
28°C 27%
26°C 25%
25°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
21°C or below
$186 交易量
<1%
22°C
$186 交易量
<1%
23°C
$30 交易量
1%
24°C
$0 交易量
3%
25°C
$54 交易量
7%
26°C
$207 交易量
25%
27°C
$168 交易量
36%
28°C
$76 交易量
27%
29°C
$64 交易量
7%
30°C
$24 交易量
3%
31°C or higher
$57 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Incheon/Seoul on September 1 indicate a daily maximum near 26–28°C, driven by lingering moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers from a weakening frontal system that limits solar heating. These conditions align closely with early-September climatology while suppressing peaks that would otherwise reach the low 30s under clearer skies. Subtle differences in model timing for any afternoon clearing or wind shifts explain the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 26–28°C, with uncertainty in precipitation duration and boundary-layer mixing as the main variables. Updated runs from global and regional models over the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution criteria for this temperature threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,052结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Incheon/Seoul on September 1 indicate a daily maximum near 26–28°C, driven by lingering moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers from a weakening frontal system that limits solar heating. These conditions align closely with early-September climatology while suppressing peaks that would otherwise reach the low 30s under clearer skies. Subtle differences in model timing for any afternoon clearing or wind shifts explain the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 26–28°C, with uncertainty in precipitation duration and boundary-layer mixing as the main variables. Updated runs from global and regional models over the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution criteria for this temperature threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,052结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts for Incheon/Seoul on September 1 indicate a daily maximum near 26–28°C, driven by lingering moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers from a weakening frontal system that limits solar heating. These conditions align closely with early-September climatology while suppressing peaks that would otherwise reach the low 30s under clearer skies. Subtle differences in model timing for any afternoon clearing or wind shifts explain the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 26–28°C, with uncertainty in precipitation duration and boundary-layer mixing as the main variables. Updated runs from global and regional models over the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution criteria for this temperature threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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