**Trader sentiment centers on 22–23°C for the September 1 overnight minimum in Incheon (official Seoul-area station) because short-range models consistently show mild conditions under persistent cloud cover and residual moisture from a stationary front.** Recent heavy rainfall across the Korean Peninsula through late August has maintained high humidity and extensive cloud cover, limiting radiative cooling and keeping overnight lows in the low-20s °C range. Multiple forecasts place the minimum between 20–24°C, with 21–23°C the most frequent output; this aligns with climatological early-September averages near 20–22°C but tempered by the current synoptic pattern. The near-even split between 22°C and 23°C reflects minor model differences in exact timing of any brief clearing or wind shifts overnight, while lower-probability outcomes (21°C or 24°C) capture tail risks from forecast adjustments. Official guidance from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration will refine these details in the final 24–48 hours before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
9月1日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
22°C 39%
23°C 38%
24°C 32%
25°C 22%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
18°C或以下
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
8%
21°C
14%
22°C
39%
23°C
38%
24°C
32%
25°C
22%
26°C
19%
27°C
1%
28°C或以上
1%
22°C 39%
23°C 38%
24°C 32%
25°C 22%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
18°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
19°C
$0 交易量
1%
20°C
$123 交易量
8%
21°C
$21 交易量
14%
22°C
$37 交易量
39%
23°C
$0 交易量
38%
24°C
$0 交易量
32%
25°C
$0 交易量
22%
26°C
$0 交易量
19%
27°C
$0 交易量
1%
28°C或以上
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment centers on 22–23°C for the September 1 overnight minimum in Incheon (official Seoul-area station) because short-range models consistently show mild conditions under persistent cloud cover and residual moisture from a stationary front.**
Recent heavy rainfall across the Korean Peninsula through late August has maintained high humidity and extensive cloud cover, limiting radiative cooling and keeping overnight lows in the low-20s °C range. Multiple forecasts place the minimum between 20–24°C, with 21–23°C the most frequent output; this aligns with climatological early-September averages near 20–22°C but tempered by the current synoptic pattern.
The near-even split between 22°C and 23°C reflects minor model differences in exact timing of any brief clearing or wind shifts overnight, while lower-probability outcomes (21°C or 24°C) capture tail risks from forecast adjustments. Official guidance from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration will refine these details in the final 24–48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$180结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment centers on 22–23°C for the September 1 overnight minimum in Incheon (official Seoul-area station) because short-range models consistently show mild conditions under persistent cloud cover and residual moisture from a stationary front.**
Recent heavy rainfall across the Korean Peninsula through late August has maintained high humidity and extensive cloud cover, limiting radiative cooling and keeping overnight lows in the low-20s °C range. Multiple forecasts place the minimum between 20–24°C, with 21–23°C the most frequent output; this aligns with climatological early-September averages near 20–22°C but tempered by the current synoptic pattern.
The near-even split between 22°C and 23°C reflects minor model differences in exact timing of any brief clearing or wind shifts overnight, while lower-probability outcomes (21°C or 24°C) capture tail risks from forecast adjustments. Official guidance from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration will refine these details in the final 24–48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$180结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Trader sentiment centers on 22–23°C for the September 1 overnight minimum in Incheon (official Seoul-area station) because short-range models consistently show mild conditions under persistent cloud cover and residual moisture from a stationary front.** Recent heavy rainfall across the Korean Peninsula through late August has maintained high humidity and extensive cloud cover, limiting radiative cooling and keeping overnight lows in the low-20s °C range. Multiple forecasts place the minimum between 20–24°C, with 21–23°C the most frequent output; this aligns with climatological early-September averages near 20–22°C but tempered by the current synoptic pattern. The near-even split between 22°C and 23°C reflects minor model differences in exact timing of any brief clearing or wind shifts overnight, while lower-probability outcomes (21°C or 24°C) capture tail risks from forecast adjustments. Official guidance from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration will refine these details in the final 24–48 hours before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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