Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and consensus models indicate a warm, humid air mass advecting into the New York City region on September 3, with southwest winds supporting daytime highs in the low to mid-80s Fahrenheit. Elevated dew points near 70°F and cloud cover from showers or thunderstorms are expected to moderate peak readings, favoring outcomes clustered around 84-85°F over higher thresholds. Model spreads reflect typical uncertainty in convective timing and coverage, which can suppress or allow brief warmer spikes. Historical early-September baselines for the area average near 80°F, providing context for the current elevated but not extreme setup. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日纽约市最高气温？
9月3日纽约市最高气温？
84-85°F 36%
82-83°F 29%
86-87°F 16%
80-81°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
36%
86-87°F
16%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 36%
82-83°F 29%
86-87°F 16%
80-81°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
75°F or below
$0 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$133 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$232 交易量
2%
80-81°F
$384 交易量
6%
82-83°F
$117 交易量
29%
84-85°F
$104 交易量
36%
86-87°F
$424 交易量
16%
88-89°F
$100 交易量
6%
90-91°F
$35 交易量
1%
92-93°F
$31 交易量
<1%
94°F or higher
$11 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and consensus models indicate a warm, humid air mass advecting into the New York City region on September 3, with southwest winds supporting daytime highs in the low to mid-80s Fahrenheit. Elevated dew points near 70°F and cloud cover from showers or thunderstorms are expected to moderate peak readings, favoring outcomes clustered around 84-85°F over higher thresholds. Model spreads reflect typical uncertainty in convective timing and coverage, which can suppress or allow brief warmer spikes. Historical early-September baselines for the area average near 80°F, providing context for the current elevated but not extreme setup. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
交易量
$1,570结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 3:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and consensus models indicate a warm, humid air mass advecting into the New York City region on September 3, with southwest winds supporting daytime highs in the low to mid-80s Fahrenheit. Elevated dew points near 70°F and cloud cover from showers or thunderstorms are expected to moderate peak readings, favoring outcomes clustered around 84-85°F over higher thresholds. Model spreads reflect typical uncertainty in convective timing and coverage, which can suppress or allow brief warmer spikes. Historical early-September baselines for the area average near 80°F, providing context for the current elevated but not extreme setup. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,570结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 3:55 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the National Weather Service and consensus models indicate a warm, humid air mass advecting into the New York City region on September 3, with southwest winds supporting daytime highs in the low to mid-80s Fahrenheit. Elevated dew points near 70°F and cloud cover from showers or thunderstorms are expected to moderate peak readings, favoring outcomes clustered around 84-85°F over higher thresholds. Model spreads reflect typical uncertainty in convective timing and coverage, which can suppress or allow brief warmer spikes. Historical early-September baselines for the area average near 80°F, providing context for the current elevated but not extreme setup. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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