**Recent short-range model consensus from sources like the Met Office, ECMWF-influenced runs, and regional forecasts points to a daytime maximum of 29–31°C in Panama City on September 3, with afternoon convection tied to the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) and typical wet-season thunderstorm development likely capping peaks near 30°C.** High humidity (often 70–85%), variable easterly winds, and scattered showers reduce insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping outcomes clustered around 31–32°C in trader pricing despite some warmer ensemble members. Differentiation between 31°C and 32°C hinges on precise timing of cloud build-up versus peak solar heating; urban heat effects and minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing add uncertainty. With resolution imminent, updated NHC or local Servicio Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá guidance on convective initiation will be the key near-term catalyst shifting implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日巴拿马城气温最高？
9月3日巴拿马城气温最高？
32°C 37%
31°C 28%
33°C或更高 25%
30°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
5%
30°C
9%
31°C
28%
32°C
37%
33°C或更高
25%
32°C 37%
31°C 28%
33°C或更高 25%
30°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
23°C或以下
$11 交易量
<1%
24°C
$145 交易量
<1%
25°C
$135 交易量
<1%
26°C
$140 交易量
<1%
27°C
$52 交易量
1%
28°C
$65 交易量
5%
29°C
$190 交易量
5%
30°C
$141 交易量
9%
31°C
$39 交易量
28%
32°C
$114 交易量
37%
33°C或更高
$256 交易量
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent short-range model consensus from sources like the Met Office, ECMWF-influenced runs, and regional forecasts points to a daytime maximum of 29–31°C in Panama City on September 3, with afternoon convection tied to the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) and typical wet-season thunderstorm development likely capping peaks near 30°C.**
High humidity (often 70–85%), variable easterly winds, and scattered showers reduce insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping outcomes clustered around 31–32°C in trader pricing despite some warmer ensemble members. Differentiation between 31°C and 32°C hinges on precise timing of cloud build-up versus peak solar heating; urban heat effects and minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing add uncertainty. With resolution imminent, updated NHC or local Servicio Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá guidance on convective initiation will be the key near-term catalyst shifting implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,288结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 8:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent short-range model consensus from sources like the Met Office, ECMWF-influenced runs, and regional forecasts points to a daytime maximum of 29–31°C in Panama City on September 3, with afternoon convection tied to the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) and typical wet-season thunderstorm development likely capping peaks near 30°C.**
High humidity (often 70–85%), variable easterly winds, and scattered showers reduce insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping outcomes clustered around 31–32°C in trader pricing despite some warmer ensemble members. Differentiation between 31°C and 32°C hinges on precise timing of cloud build-up versus peak solar heating; urban heat effects and minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing add uncertainty. With resolution imminent, updated NHC or local Servicio Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá guidance on convective initiation will be the key near-term catalyst shifting implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,288结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 8:56 AM ET**Recent short-range model consensus from sources like the Met Office, ECMWF-influenced runs, and regional forecasts points to a daytime maximum of 29–31°C in Panama City on September 3, with afternoon convection tied to the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) and typical wet-season thunderstorm development likely capping peaks near 30°C.** High humidity (often 70–85%), variable easterly winds, and scattered showers reduce insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping outcomes clustered around 31–32°C in trader pricing despite some warmer ensemble members. Differentiation between 31°C and 32°C hinges on precise timing of cloud build-up versus peak solar heating; urban heat effects and minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing add uncertainty. With resolution imminent, updated NHC or local Servicio Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá guidance on convective initiation will be the key near-term catalyst shifting implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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