Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 2 project a daily maximum between 26–31 °C under mainly cloudy skies with scattered squally showers, brief afternoon sunshine, and north-to-northwest winds of 4–5, occasionally 6, influenced by Tropical Cyclone Saudel and the northeast monsoon. These conditions create moderate uncertainty around peak heating, as cloud cover and precipitation suppress temperatures while limited solar breaks could allow brief rises toward 30–31 °C. Trader consensus, with 29 °C and 30 °C holding the highest implied probabilities, aligns with this range and model consensus from multiple sources showing highs near 28–31 °C. Additional HKO updates and real-time observations tomorrow will refine resolution criteria for the exact daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日香港气温最高?
29°C 34%
30°C 27%
28°C 21%
31°C 11%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
21%
29°C
34%
30°C
27%
31°C
11%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 34%
30°C 27%
28°C 21%
31°C 11%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
21%
29°C
34%
30°C
27%
31°C
11%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 2 project a daily maximum between 26–31 °C under mainly cloudy skies with scattered squally showers, brief afternoon sunshine, and north-to-northwest winds of 4–5, occasionally 6, influenced by Tropical Cyclone Saudel and the northeast monsoon. These conditions create moderate uncertainty around peak heating, as cloud cover and precipitation suppress temperatures while limited solar breaks could allow brief rises toward 30–31 °C. Trader consensus, with 29 °C and 30 °C holding the highest implied probabilities, aligns with this range and model consensus from multiple sources showing highs near 28–31 °C. Additional HKO updates and real-time observations tomorrow will refine resolution criteria for the exact daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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