Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a minimum air temperature of 25°C on September 2, 2026, aligning with the market's near-certain 25°C outcome. Persistent cloud cover, light rain showers, and moderate northwest winds limited nighttime radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near the seasonal average for early September rather than allowing dips toward 24°C. Forecasters from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models had anticipated this range given the prevailing humid, overcast pattern. A stronger cold surge or prolonged clear skies could have enabled greater heat loss and a lower minimum, but observed conditions and real-time data ruled out such shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日香港最低气温?
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$21,475 交易量
$21,475 交易量
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$21,475 交易量
$21,475 交易量
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a minimum air temperature of 25°C on September 2, 2026, aligning with the market's near-certain 25°C outcome. Persistent cloud cover, light rain showers, and moderate northwest winds limited nighttime radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near the seasonal average for early September rather than allowing dips toward 24°C. Forecasters from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models had anticipated this range given the prevailing humid, overcast pattern. A stronger cold surge or prolonged clear skies could have enabled greater heat loss and a lower minimum, but observed conditions and real-time data ruled out such shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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