Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 5, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory observations that recorded this as the day's lowest temperature amid persistently warm, humid subtropical conditions. Early September climatology typically features overnight lows near 26–28°C due to high dew points and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy skies or light winds. Recent model guidance and surface data showed no significant frontal passages or clear-sky radiative events capable of dropping readings further, aligning with the market-implied outcome. A realistic challenge would require post-event quality-control revisions from the primary reporting station or discrepancies across auxiliary sites, though such adjustments are infrequent for standard minimum temperature records.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日香港最低气温？
9月5日香港最低气温？
27°C 99.4%
26°C <1%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
$35,259 交易量
$35,259 交易量
2026-09-05
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
99%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
27°C 99.4%
26°C <1%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
$35,259 交易量
$35,259 交易量
2026-09-05
20°C或以下
$158 交易量
<1%
21°C
$148 交易量
<1%
22°C
$158 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,520 交易量
<1%
24°C
$3,493 交易量
<1%
25°C
$4,518 交易量
<1%
26°C
$9,974 交易量
<1%
27°C
$13,579 交易量
99%
28°C
$1,166 交易量
<1%
29°C
$158 交易量
<1%
30°C或以上
$389 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 5, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory observations that recorded this as the day's lowest temperature amid persistently warm, humid subtropical conditions. Early September climatology typically features overnight lows near 26–28°C due to high dew points and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy skies or light winds. Recent model guidance and surface data showed no significant frontal passages or clear-sky radiative events capable of dropping readings further, aligning with the market-implied outcome. A realistic challenge would require post-event quality-control revisions from the primary reporting station or discrepancies across auxiliary sites, though such adjustments are infrequent for standard minimum temperature records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$35,259结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 5, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory observations that recorded this as the day's lowest temperature amid persistently warm, humid subtropical conditions. Early September climatology typically features overnight lows near 26–28°C due to high dew points and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy skies or light winds. Recent model guidance and surface data showed no significant frontal passages or clear-sky radiative events capable of dropping readings further, aligning with the market-implied outcome. A realistic challenge would require post-event quality-control revisions from the primary reporting station or discrepancies across auxiliary sites, though such adjustments are infrequent for standard minimum temperature records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$35,259结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETTrader consensus heavily favors a 27°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 5, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory observations that recorded this as the day's lowest temperature amid persistently warm, humid subtropical conditions. Early September climatology typically features overnight lows near 26–28°C due to high dew points and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy skies or light winds. Recent model guidance and surface data showed no significant frontal passages or clear-sky radiative events capable of dropping readings further, aligning with the market-implied outcome. A realistic challenge would require post-event quality-control revisions from the primary reporting station or discrepancies across auxiliary sites, though such adjustments are infrequent for standard minimum temperature records.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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