Trader consensus heavily favors a 56-57°F minimum in Seattle on September 8, reflecting official National Weather Service observations from Sea-Tac International Airport under clear skies and light northerly flow. This outcome aligns with recent model guidance and climatological norms for early September, where the 1991-2020 average low sits near 54°F, yet persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover supported readings a few degrees above baseline. NOAA data releases and station verification typically finalize resolution within days, leaving little room for revision unless post-analysis adjustments occur. Unlikely challengers include rare microclimate variations or instrument recalibration, though historical records show such shifts are infrequent for this metric.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月8日西雅图最低气温?
56-57°F 99%
50-51°F 7%
48-49°F 3.8%
52-53°F 2%
$1,975 交易量
$1,975 交易量
47°F或以下
1%
48-49°F
4%
50-51°F
7%
52-53°F
2%
54-55°F
-
56-57°F
99%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F或更高
<1%
56-57°F 99%
50-51°F 7%
48-49°F 3.8%
52-53°F 2%
$1,975 交易量
$1,975 交易量
47°F或以下
1%
48-49°F
4%
50-51°F
7%
52-53°F
2%
54-55°F
-
56-57°F
99%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 6, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus heavily favors a 56-57°F minimum in Seattle on September 8, reflecting official National Weather Service observations from Sea-Tac International Airport under clear skies and light northerly flow. This outcome aligns with recent model guidance and climatological norms for early September, where the 1991-2020 average low sits near 54°F, yet persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover supported readings a few degrees above baseline. NOAA data releases and station verification typically finalize resolution within days, leaving little room for revision unless post-analysis adjustments occur. Unlikely challengers include rare microclimate variations or instrument recalibration, though historical records show such shifts are infrequent for this metric.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题