Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 8 indicate mainly fine conditions with only isolated early showers, easterly to northeasterly winds of 2-3 on the Beaufort scale, and daytime temperatures reaching 27-33°C under very hot conditions. This official outlook, combined with current regional model consensus showing strong insolation and moderate humidity levels around 60-90%, drives the tight market split favoring 32°C or 33°C as the daily maximum. Key variables include the timing and extent of any residual cloud cover or convective activity, which could suppress peak readings by 1°C, and local urban heat effects that often push central districts toward the upper end of the range. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月8日香港气温最高？
9月8日香港气温最高？
32°C 35%
33°C 31%
31°C 21%
30°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
27°C或以下
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
13%
31°C
21%
32°C
35%
33°C
31%
34°C
4%
35°C
5%
36°C
5%
37°C或以上
6%
32°C 35%
33°C 31%
31°C 21%
30°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
27°C或以下
$5 交易量
2%
28°C
$0 交易量
2%
29°C
$0 交易量
2%
30°C
$0 交易量
13%
31°C
$0 交易量
21%
32°C
$0 交易量
35%
33°C
$5 交易量
31%
34°C
$8 交易量
4%
35°C
$0 交易量
5%
36°C
$0 交易量
5%
37°C或以上
$0 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 8 indicate mainly fine conditions with only isolated early showers, easterly to northeasterly winds of 2-3 on the Beaufort scale, and daytime temperatures reaching 27-33°C under very hot conditions. This official outlook, combined with current regional model consensus showing strong insolation and moderate humidity levels around 60-90%, drives the tight market split favoring 32°C or 33°C as the daily maximum. Key variables include the timing and extent of any residual cloud cover or convective activity, which could suppress peak readings by 1°C, and local urban heat effects that often push central districts toward the upper end of the range. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$18结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 8 indicate mainly fine conditions with only isolated early showers, easterly to northeasterly winds of 2-3 on the Beaufort scale, and daytime temperatures reaching 27-33°C under very hot conditions. This official outlook, combined with current regional model consensus showing strong insolation and moderate humidity levels around 60-90%, drives the tight market split favoring 32°C or 33°C as the daily maximum. Key variables include the timing and extent of any residual cloud cover or convective activity, which could suppress peak readings by 1°C, and local urban heat effects that often push central districts toward the upper end of the range. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$18结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETHong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 8 indicate mainly fine conditions with only isolated early showers, easterly to northeasterly winds of 2-3 on the Beaufort scale, and daytime temperatures reaching 27-33°C under very hot conditions. This official outlook, combined with current regional model consensus showing strong insolation and moderate humidity levels around 60-90%, drives the tight market split favoring 32°C or 33°C as the daily maximum. Key variables include the timing and extent of any residual cloud cover or convective activity, which could suppress peak readings by 1°C, and local urban heat effects that often push central districts toward the upper end of the range. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题