Recent National Weather Service and model guidance, including GFS runs, indicate a northeast flow will keep New York City highs in the mid-70s on September 6, driving the market's concentration on the 74–77°F bins. Cooler maritime air and partly to mostly sunny conditions are expected to suppress temperatures below the late-summer climatological average of roughly 79–80°F, with overnight lows in the low-to-mid 60s limiting daytime recovery. Model consensus remains tight, though minor shifts in wind direction or cloud cover could nudge readings toward the 78°F threshold. Traders appear to weigh these official forecasts heavily, as the implied probabilities align closely with the latest guidance ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日纽约市的最高温度？
9月6日纽约市的最高温度？
76-77°F 40%
74-75°F 29%
78-79°F 21%
72-73°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
65华氏度或以下
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
2%
84°F或更高
1%
76-77°F 40%
74-75°F 29%
78-79°F 21%
72-73°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
65华氏度或以下
$45 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$42 交易量
2%
70-71°F
$67 交易量
3%
72-73°F
$487 交易量
6%
74-75°F
$393 交易量
29%
76-77°F
$527 交易量
40%
78-79°F
$891 交易量
21%
80-81°F
$46 交易量
3%
82-83°F
$17 交易量
2%
84°F或更高
$121 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance, including GFS runs, indicate a northeast flow will keep New York City highs in the mid-70s on September 6, driving the market's concentration on the 74–77°F bins. Cooler maritime air and partly to mostly sunny conditions are expected to suppress temperatures below the late-summer climatological average of roughly 79–80°F, with overnight lows in the low-to-mid 60s limiting daytime recovery. Model consensus remains tight, though minor shifts in wind direction or cloud cover could nudge readings toward the 78°F threshold. Traders appear to weigh these official forecasts heavily, as the implied probabilities align closely with the latest guidance ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
交易量
$2,632结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 3:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance, including GFS runs, indicate a northeast flow will keep New York City highs in the mid-70s on September 6, driving the market's concentration on the 74–77°F bins. Cooler maritime air and partly to mostly sunny conditions are expected to suppress temperatures below the late-summer climatological average of roughly 79–80°F, with overnight lows in the low-to-mid 60s limiting daytime recovery. Model consensus remains tight, though minor shifts in wind direction or cloud cover could nudge readings toward the 78°F threshold. Traders appear to weigh these official forecasts heavily, as the implied probabilities align closely with the latest guidance ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,632结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 3:55 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance, including GFS runs, indicate a northeast flow will keep New York City highs in the mid-70s on September 6, driving the market's concentration on the 74–77°F bins. Cooler maritime air and partly to mostly sunny conditions are expected to suppress temperatures below the late-summer climatological average of roughly 79–80°F, with overnight lows in the low-to-mid 60s limiting daytime recovery. Model consensus remains tight, though minor shifts in wind direction or cloud cover could nudge readings toward the 78°F threshold. Traders appear to weigh these official forecasts heavily, as the implied probabilities align closely with the latest guidance ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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