Recent forecasts from European and Russian meteorological models show a cool northwest airflow settling over Moscow, with daytime maxima projected between 11–13°C amid periods of rain and persistent cloud cover on September 7. This marks a sharp drop from early-September readings near 20°C and aligns closely with the market’s near-even distribution across those three outcomes. Model consensus on steering patterns and minimal diurnal recovery under overcast skies supports the tight clustering, while small timing differences in frontal passage or brief clearing introduce the modest probability mass at 15°C and below 11°C. Updated runs from the Hydrometeorological Center and ECMWF on September 6 will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月7日莫斯科最高气温？
9月7日莫斯科最高气温？
12°C 34%
13°C 28%
11°C 27%
15°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
6°C或以下
4%
7°C
4%
8°C
2%
9°C
5%
10°C
5%
11°C
27%
12°C
34%
13°C
28%
14°C
6%
15°C
17%
16°C或更高
4%
12°C 34%
13°C 28%
11°C 27%
15°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
6°C或以下
$0 交易量
4%
7°C
$0 交易量
4%
8°C
$0 交易量
2%
9°C
$0 交易量
5%
10°C
$0 交易量
5%
11°C
$0 交易量
27%
12°C
$0 交易量
34%
13°C
$0 交易量
28%
14°C
$0 交易量
6%
15°C
$0 交易量
17%
16°C或更高
$0 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European and Russian meteorological models show a cool northwest airflow settling over Moscow, with daytime maxima projected between 11–13°C amid periods of rain and persistent cloud cover on September 7. This marks a sharp drop from early-September readings near 20°C and aligns closely with the market’s near-even distribution across those three outcomes. Model consensus on steering patterns and minimal diurnal recovery under overcast skies supports the tight clustering, while small timing differences in frontal passage or brief clearing introduce the modest probability mass at 15°C and below 11°C. Updated runs from the Hydrometeorological Center and ECMWF on September 6 will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-07市场开放时间
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European and Russian meteorological models show a cool northwest airflow settling over Moscow, with daytime maxima projected between 11–13°C amid periods of rain and persistent cloud cover on September 7. This marks a sharp drop from early-September readings near 20°C and aligns closely with the market’s near-even distribution across those three outcomes. Model consensus on steering patterns and minimal diurnal recovery under overcast skies supports the tight clustering, while small timing differences in frontal passage or brief clearing introduce the modest probability mass at 15°C and below 11°C. Updated runs from the Hydrometeorological Center and ECMWF on September 6 will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-07市场开放时间
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from European and Russian meteorological models show a cool northwest airflow settling over Moscow, with daytime maxima projected between 11–13°C amid periods of rain and persistent cloud cover on September 7. This marks a sharp drop from early-September readings near 20°C and aligns closely with the market’s near-even distribution across those three outcomes. Model consensus on steering patterns and minimal diurnal recovery under overcast skies supports the tight clustering, while small timing differences in frontal passage or brief clearing introduce the modest probability mass at 15°C and below 11°C. Updated runs from the Hydrometeorological Center and ECMWF on September 6 will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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