Recent National Weather Service and local model consensus for Denver on September 4 points to mostly sunny conditions under a building high-pressure ridge, producing afternoon highs of 90–93°F—well above the 83.6°F climatological average. This pattern, with light southeast winds and low humidity, favors the market’s leading 92–93°F bin at 44% implied probability. Limited moisture and no incoming fronts reduce thunderstorm chances, keeping temperatures from exceeding 95°F or dropping below 90°F. Traders weigh the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, with final model updates on September 3 likely to refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日丹佛的最高温度?
92-93华氏度 44%
90-91°F 42%
94-95°F 17%
86-87°F 9%
79华氏度或以下
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
8%
90-91°F
26%
92-93华氏度
44%
94-95°F
17%
96-97华氏度
6%
98华氏度或更高
6%
92-93华氏度 44%
90-91°F 42%
94-95°F 17%
86-87°F 9%
79华氏度或以下
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
8%
90-91°F
26%
92-93华氏度
44%
94-95°F
17%
96-97华氏度
6%
98华氏度或更高
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 2, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and local model consensus for Denver on September 4 points to mostly sunny conditions under a building high-pressure ridge, producing afternoon highs of 90–93°F—well above the 83.6°F climatological average. This pattern, with light southeast winds and low humidity, favors the market’s leading 92–93°F bin at 44% implied probability. Limited moisture and no incoming fronts reduce thunderstorm chances, keeping temperatures from exceeding 95°F or dropping below 90°F. Traders weigh the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, with final model updates on September 3 likely to refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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