Recent NWS forecasts and model consensus point to an overnight low near 52°F for Seattle on September 4, driven by post-frontal cooling behind an early-September upper-level low drifting southward along the British Columbia coast. This system has introduced increased cloud cover, light showers, and a cooler marine air mass that limits radiational cooling overnight, keeping temperatures close to the historical average low of 55°F while suppressing extremes. Trader sentiment clusters around the 52-53°F bin as the most probable outcome under current guidance, with the elevated probability on 45°F or below reflecting residual uncertainty in exact minimums if clearing allows stronger cooling or if models trend slightly colder. Upcoming NWS updates and refined model runs through September 3 will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日西雅图最低气温？
9月4日西雅图最低气温？
45°F或以下 69%
50-51°F 49%
54-55°F 49%
52-53°F 34%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
45°F或以下
69%
46-47°F
15%
48-49°F
18%
50-51°F
49%
52-53°F
34%
54-55°F
49%
56-57°F
18%
58-59°F
16%
60-61°F
15%
62-63°F
16%
64°F或更高
15%
45°F或以下 69%
50-51°F 49%
54-55°F 49%
52-53°F 34%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
45°F或以下
$0 交易量
69%
46-47°F
$0 交易量
15%
48-49°F
$0 交易量
18%
50-51°F
$0 交易量
49%
52-53°F
$0 交易量
34%
54-55°F
$0 交易量
49%
56-57°F
$0 交易量
18%
58-59°F
$0 交易量
16%
60-61°F
$0 交易量
15%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
16%
64°F或更高
$0 交易量
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NWS forecasts and model consensus point to an overnight low near 52°F for Seattle on September 4, driven by post-frontal cooling behind an early-September upper-level low drifting southward along the British Columbia coast. This system has introduced increased cloud cover, light showers, and a cooler marine air mass that limits radiational cooling overnight, keeping temperatures close to the historical average low of 55°F while suppressing extremes. Trader sentiment clusters around the 52-53°F bin as the most probable outcome under current guidance, with the elevated probability on 45°F or below reflecting residual uncertainty in exact minimums if clearing allows stronger cooling or if models trend slightly colder. Upcoming NWS updates and refined model runs through September 3 will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NWS forecasts and model consensus point to an overnight low near 52°F for Seattle on September 4, driven by post-frontal cooling behind an early-September upper-level low drifting southward along the British Columbia coast. This system has introduced increased cloud cover, light showers, and a cooler marine air mass that limits radiational cooling overnight, keeping temperatures close to the historical average low of 55°F while suppressing extremes. Trader sentiment clusters around the 52-53°F bin as the most probable outcome under current guidance, with the elevated probability on 45°F or below reflecting residual uncertainty in exact minimums if clearing allows stronger cooling or if models trend slightly colder. Upcoming NWS updates and refined model runs through September 3 will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ETRecent NWS forecasts and model consensus point to an overnight low near 52°F for Seattle on September 4, driven by post-frontal cooling behind an early-September upper-level low drifting southward along the British Columbia coast. This system has introduced increased cloud cover, light showers, and a cooler marine air mass that limits radiational cooling overnight, keeping temperatures close to the historical average low of 55°F while suppressing extremes. Trader sentiment clusters around the 52-53°F bin as the most probable outcome under current guidance, with the elevated probability on 45°F or below reflecting residual uncertainty in exact minimums if clearing allows stronger cooling or if models trend slightly colder. Upcoming NWS updates and refined model runs through September 3 will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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