**Forecasts from Environment Canada and major models indicate an overnight low near 16°C for Toronto on September 4, driven by northerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and a stable air mass following daytime highs of 24–26°C.** This aligns with the historical average low of 15.7°C for the date while falling short of cooler thresholds. Trader consensus, reflected in the 39% implied probability for 13°C or below, likely incorporates model spread, urban heat island variability, and potential for localized radiational cooling under clearing skies overnight. Upcoming official minimum readings from Pearson Airport and downtown stations will resolve the market, with current guidance favoring outcomes in the mid-teens over extremes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日多伦多最低气温？
9月4日多伦多最低气温？
13°C或以下 80%
22°C 50%
21°C 49%
23°C或更高 41%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
13°C或以下
80%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
28%
18°C
27%
19°C
27%
20°C
24%
21°C
49%
22°C
50%
23°C或更高
41%
13°C或以下 80%
22°C 50%
21°C 49%
23°C或更高 41%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
13°C或以下
$62 交易量
80%
14°C
$0 交易量
26%
15°C
$0 交易量
26%
16°C
$0 交易量
26%
17°C
$0 交易量
28%
18°C
$0 交易量
27%
19°C
$10 交易量
27%
20°C
$137 交易量
24%
21°C
$127 交易量
49%
22°C
$77 交易量
50%
23°C或更高
$127 交易量
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from Environment Canada and major models indicate an overnight low near 16°C for Toronto on September 4, driven by northerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and a stable air mass following daytime highs of 24–26°C.**
This aligns with the historical average low of 15.7°C for the date while falling short of cooler thresholds. Trader consensus, reflected in the 39% implied probability for 13°C or below, likely incorporates model spread, urban heat island variability, and potential for localized radiational cooling under clearing skies overnight. Upcoming official minimum readings from Pearson Airport and downtown stations will resolve the market, with current guidance favoring outcomes in the mid-teens over extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
交易量
$540结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from Environment Canada and major models indicate an overnight low near 16°C for Toronto on September 4, driven by northerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and a stable air mass following daytime highs of 24–26°C.**
This aligns with the historical average low of 15.7°C for the date while falling short of cooler thresholds. Trader consensus, reflected in the 39% implied probability for 13°C or below, likely incorporates model spread, urban heat island variability, and potential for localized radiational cooling under clearing skies overnight. Upcoming official minimum readings from Pearson Airport and downtown stations will resolve the market, with current guidance favoring outcomes in the mid-teens over extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$540结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ET**Forecasts from Environment Canada and major models indicate an overnight low near 16°C for Toronto on September 4, driven by northerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and a stable air mass following daytime highs of 24–26°C.** This aligns with the historical average low of 15.7°C for the date while falling short of cooler thresholds. Trader consensus, reflected in the 39% implied probability for 13°C or below, likely incorporates model spread, urban heat island variability, and potential for localized radiational cooling under clearing skies overnight. Upcoming official minimum readings from Pearson Airport and downtown stations will resolve the market, with current guidance favoring outcomes in the mid-teens over extremes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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