Recent flash drought developments across the South-Central U.S. and parts of the Plains, driven by persistent below-normal precipitation and above-normal temperatures, represent the main factor shaping trader views on which states will show D4 exceptional drought on the U.S. Drought Monitor for the week of September 8. The map released September 3, valid through September 1, already depicts limited D4 areas in Texas, New Mexico, Idaho, Nebraska, Mississippi, and North Carolina, with further degradation noted in the South-Central region and along the North Dakota–South Dakota–Minnesota border. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center outlooks favor continued dry conditions and warmer temperatures through mid-September in these zones, increasing evapotranspiration and soil moisture deficits. The next USDM update, expected September 10 with data through September 8, along with any revised short-term forecasts, will directly inform resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于各州异常干旱( D4 ) — 2026年9月8日当周

阿拉巴马州
4%

亚利桑那州
4%

阿肯色州
96%

加利福尼亚
5%

科罗拉多
97%

特拉华州
4%

佛罗里达
6%

佐治亚州
5%

爱达荷州
96%

伊利诺伊州
4%

印第安纳州
5%

爱荷华州
5%

堪萨斯
5%

肯塔基州
5%

路易斯安那州
5%

马里兰州
4%

明尼苏达
5%

密西西比州
94%

密苏里
5%

蒙大拿州
5%

内布拉斯加州
95%

内华达
95%

新泽西州
4%

新墨西哥
95%

北卡罗来纳州
90%

北达科他州
6%

俄亥俄州
5%

俄克拉荷马
96%

俄勒冈
95%

宾夕法尼亚州
4%

南卡罗来州
6%

南达科他州
5%

田纳西
4%

德克萨斯州
96%

犹他州
92%

弗吉尼亚
7%

华盛顿
7%

西弗吉尼亚
2%

威斯康星州
6%

怀俄明州
8%
$1,570 交易量

阿拉巴马州
4%

亚利桑那州
4%

阿肯色州
96%

加利福尼亚
5%

科罗拉多
97%

特拉华州
4%

佛罗里达
6%

佐治亚州
5%

爱达荷州
96%

伊利诺伊州
4%

印第安纳州
5%

爱荷华州
5%

堪萨斯
5%

肯塔基州
5%

路易斯安那州
5%

马里兰州
4%

明尼苏达
5%

密西西比州
94%

密苏里
5%

蒙大拿州
5%

内布拉斯加州
95%

内华达
95%

新泽西州
4%

新墨西哥
95%

北卡罗来纳州
90%

北达科他州
6%

俄亥俄州
5%

俄克拉荷马
96%

俄勒冈
95%

宾夕法尼亚州
4%

南卡罗来州
6%

南达科他州
5%

田纳西
4%

德克萨斯州
96%

犹他州
92%

弗吉尼亚
7%

华盛顿
7%

西弗吉尼亚
2%

威斯康星州
6%

怀俄明州
8%
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 8, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
市场开放时间: Sep 3, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 8, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Recent flash drought developments across the South-Central U.S. and parts of the Plains, driven by persistent below-normal precipitation and above-normal temperatures, represent the main factor shaping trader views on which states will show D4 exceptional drought on the U.S. Drought Monitor for the week of September 8. The map released September 3, valid through September 1, already depicts limited D4 areas in Texas, New Mexico, Idaho, Nebraska, Mississippi, and North Carolina, with further degradation noted in the South-Central region and along the North Dakota–South Dakota–Minnesota border. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center outlooks favor continued dry conditions and warmer temperatures through mid-September in these zones, increasing evapotranspiration and soil moisture deficits. The next USDM update, expected September 10 with data through September 8, along with any revised short-term forecasts, will directly inform resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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