Recent Met Office and GFS model runs indicate a mild southwesterly flow over southern England, positioning London for a daytime high of 24–26°C on September 3. This air mass, drawn from the Atlantic, limits daytime heating while increasing cloud cover and humidity, keeping values near seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger insolation or continental warmth. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most solutions converging on afternoon peaks around 25°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Traders have priced these outcomes highest because successive model updates through early September have reinforced this range, with only modest upside risk from any unexpected ridge development. New forecast cycles and observational data over the next 48 hours will determine whether probabilities shift toward 24°C or 26°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日伦敦气温最高？
9月3日伦敦气温最高？
25°C 38%
24°C 24%
26°C 23%
23°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
9%
23°C
13%
24°C
24%
25°C
38%
26°C
23%
27°C
10%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 38%
24°C 24%
26°C 23%
23°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
19°C or below
$10 交易量
<1%
20°C
$127 交易量
<1%
21°C
$10 交易量
<1%
22°C
$0 交易量
9%
23°C
$109 交易量
13%
24°C
$28 交易量
24%
25°C
$264 交易量
38%
26°C
$156 交易量
23%
27°C
$68 交易量
10%
28°C
$15 交易量
2%
29°C or higher
$67 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and GFS model runs indicate a mild southwesterly flow over southern England, positioning London for a daytime high of 24–26°C on September 3. This air mass, drawn from the Atlantic, limits daytime heating while increasing cloud cover and humidity, keeping values near seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger insolation or continental warmth. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most solutions converging on afternoon peaks around 25°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Traders have priced these outcomes highest because successive model updates through early September have reinforced this range, with only modest upside risk from any unexpected ridge development. New forecast cycles and observational data over the next 48 hours will determine whether probabilities shift toward 24°C or 26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$854结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and GFS model runs indicate a mild southwesterly flow over southern England, positioning London for a daytime high of 24–26°C on September 3. This air mass, drawn from the Atlantic, limits daytime heating while increasing cloud cover and humidity, keeping values near seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger insolation or continental warmth. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most solutions converging on afternoon peaks around 25°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Traders have priced these outcomes highest because successive model updates through early September have reinforced this range, with only modest upside risk from any unexpected ridge development. New forecast cycles and observational data over the next 48 hours will determine whether probabilities shift toward 24°C or 26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$854结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent Met Office and GFS model runs indicate a mild southwesterly flow over southern England, positioning London for a daytime high of 24–26°C on September 3. This air mass, drawn from the Atlantic, limits daytime heating while increasing cloud cover and humidity, keeping values near seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger insolation or continental warmth. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most solutions converging on afternoon peaks around 25°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Traders have priced these outcomes highest because successive model updates through early September have reinforced this range, with only modest upside risk from any unexpected ridge development. New forecast cycles and observational data over the next 48 hours will determine whether probabilities shift toward 24°C or 26°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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