Recent forecasts from the UK Met Office and ensemble models indicate a mild overnight low near 18°C for London on September 3, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling under a mild maritime airmass. This setup aligns with the market's leading 18°C (38.5%) and 19°C (25.5%) outcomes, as urban heat retention and dew points around 16–17°C further support elevated minima. Historical September averages near 14–15°C lows underscore the current anomaly, while the absence of clear skies or northerly intrusions reduces odds for 17°C or below. Updated model runs through early September continue to favor this range, with only minor spread in guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日伦敦最低气温？
9月3日伦敦最低气温？
18°C 40%
19°C 27%
16°C 19%
20°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
13°C或以下
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
19%
17°C
14%
18°C
40%
19°C
27%
20°C
18%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C或更高
2%
18°C 40%
19°C 27%
16°C 19%
20°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
13°C或以下
$5 交易量
2%
14°C
$5 交易量
2%
15°C
$25 交易量
3%
16°C
$5 交易量
19%
17°C
$0 交易量
14%
18°C
$0 交易量
40%
19°C
$0 交易量
27%
20°C
$0 交易量
18%
21°C
$0 交易量
2%
22°C
$5 交易量
2%
23°C或更高
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the UK Met Office and ensemble models indicate a mild overnight low near 18°C for London on September 3, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling under a mild maritime airmass. This setup aligns with the market's leading 18°C (38.5%) and 19°C (25.5%) outcomes, as urban heat retention and dew points around 16–17°C further support elevated minima. Historical September averages near 14–15°C lows underscore the current anomaly, while the absence of clear skies or northerly intrusions reduces odds for 17°C or below. Updated model runs through early September continue to favor this range, with only minor spread in guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$50结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the UK Met Office and ensemble models indicate a mild overnight low near 18°C for London on September 3, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling under a mild maritime airmass. This setup aligns with the market's leading 18°C (38.5%) and 19°C (25.5%) outcomes, as urban heat retention and dew points around 16–17°C further support elevated minima. Historical September averages near 14–15°C lows underscore the current anomaly, while the absence of clear skies or northerly intrusions reduces odds for 17°C or below. Updated model runs through early September continue to favor this range, with only minor spread in guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$50结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from the UK Met Office and ensemble models indicate a mild overnight low near 18°C for London on September 3, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling under a mild maritime airmass. This setup aligns with the market's leading 18°C (38.5%) and 19°C (25.5%) outcomes, as urban heat retention and dew points around 16–17°C further support elevated minima. Historical September averages near 14–15°C lows underscore the current anomaly, while the absence of clear skies or northerly intrusions reduces odds for 17°C or below. Updated model runs through early September continue to favor this range, with only minor spread in guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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