Current forecast models from NOAA and regional sources indicate the lowest temperature in New York City on September 3 will likely fall in the low 70s°F, driven by a warm, humid air mass with persistent cloud cover and southwest winds limiting overnight radiational cooling. Recent showers and high dew points have kept minimums elevated, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 70–73°F outcomes. Historical early-September baselines average near 65–68°F, but this pattern deviates due to stalled frontal boundaries. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will refine exact thresholds, as small shifts in cloud timing or wind could differentiate the leading bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日纽约市最低温度？
9月3日纽约市最低温度？
72-73°F 28%
70-71°F 27%
68-69°F 25%
74-75°F 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
63°F或更低
9%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
12%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82°F或更高
1%
72-73°F 28%
70-71°F 27%
68-69°F 25%
74-75°F 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
63°F或更低
$10 交易量
9%
64-65°F
$26 交易量
3%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
12%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
25%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
27%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
28%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
15%
76-77°F
$10 交易量
8%
78-79°F
$10 交易量
1%
80-81°F
$10 交易量
1%
82°F或更高
$10 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from NOAA and regional sources indicate the lowest temperature in New York City on September 3 will likely fall in the low 70s°F, driven by a warm, humid air mass with persistent cloud cover and southwest winds limiting overnight radiational cooling. Recent showers and high dew points have kept minimums elevated, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 70–73°F outcomes. Historical early-September baselines average near 65–68°F, but this pattern deviates due to stalled frontal boundaries. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will refine exact thresholds, as small shifts in cloud timing or wind could differentiate the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$76结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from NOAA and regional sources indicate the lowest temperature in New York City on September 3 will likely fall in the low 70s°F, driven by a warm, humid air mass with persistent cloud cover and southwest winds limiting overnight radiational cooling. Recent showers and high dew points have kept minimums elevated, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 70–73°F outcomes. Historical early-September baselines average near 65–68°F, but this pattern deviates due to stalled frontal boundaries. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will refine exact thresholds, as small shifts in cloud timing or wind could differentiate the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$76结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETCurrent forecast models from NOAA and regional sources indicate the lowest temperature in New York City on September 3 will likely fall in the low 70s°F, driven by a warm, humid air mass with persistent cloud cover and southwest winds limiting overnight radiational cooling. Recent showers and high dew points have kept minimums elevated, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 70–73°F outcomes. Historical early-September baselines average near 65–68°F, but this pattern deviates due to stalled frontal boundaries. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will refine exact thresholds, as small shifts in cloud timing or wind could differentiate the leading bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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